After reading a book defending limitations to free trade/protectionism, it was time for something completely different. So I looked around after any current, well-regarded (in their circles) Austrian libertarian economist. Because I know many ancap people, I just picked one of those they often mentioned: Hans-Hermann Hoppe. Looking over his Wikipedia profile, you’d probably get the general […]

Note: snarky, critical. Happy to be proven wrong. Edit: after writing this, I found some more evidence, but it’s not particularly convincing either. CFAR, The Center for Applied Rationality, is connected to the Less Wrong/rationalist movement. They offer courses where one can: 4-day immersive trainings in applied rationality; form accurate beliefs; learn to get these […]

Along with some other people, I was asked to produce a list of the top 5 books that had the largest influence on me. Five books that have most influenced your worldview @EPoe187 @fsnole1 @hbdchick @DrRobertKing @JayMan471 @KirkegaardEmil @pnin1957 — Ben Winegard (@BenWinegard) June 5, 2017 Note that this is not the same as listing […]

In reply to: Scott Alexander’s Learning To Love Scientific Consensus. Actually, I have planned (in my mind) a somewhat longer post on my take on the ‘correct contrarian cluster’, or how to make up your mind of what to believe on controversial topics. But I certainly don’t have time to write that now, so instead […]

This post is unusually blunt because the topic concerns some rather serious criticism leveled against me. This necessitates replying with some facts that I’ve used for self-assessment purposes. In case you missed it, my post the mental and behavioral problems of kids with parents from different races generated some furor. I replied to the first […]

Being annoyed by some of the usual qualitative drivel masquerading as science (see almost any tweet by @RealPeerReview), I was moved to make a nice background/poster. en.wikiquote.org/wiki/William_Thomson A slide from some anthropologist said of Galton that he “Worshipped at the alter of quantification”. That’s a nice way to put it!

This book is written by one of the persons behind Skeptical Science, a website debunking pseudoscience in the area of climatology and global warning, very much like Talk Origins debunks evolution related pseudoscience. The book itself has more of a meta style and does not cover all arguments put forward by climate contrarians. After all, […]

Quoted from Textbook of Human Reproductive Genetics, chapter 13: PGD within the“autonomy model” According to what may be called the “autonomy model,” prospective parents are free to use PGD in order to select embryos on the basis of any characteristic they prefer, whether health related or not. Opponents argue that selecting for non-medical characteristics violates […]

Disclaimer: Some not too structured thoughts. It’s commonly said that correlation does not imply causation. That is true (see Gwern’s analysis), but does causation imply correlation? Specifically, if “→” means causes and “~~” means correlates with, does X→Y imply X~~Y? It may seem obvious that the answer is yes, but it is not so clear. […]

Title says it all. Apparently, some think this is not the case, but it is a straightforward application of Bayes’ theorem. When I first learned of Bayes’ theorem years ago, I thought of this point. Back then I also believed that stereotypes are irrelevant when one has individualized information. Alas, it is incorrect. Neven Sesardic […]