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	<title>Clear Language, Clear Mind</title>
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	<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en</link>
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		<title>&#8220;I used improper factor analysis, and now there isnt a g factor. Spearman was wrong!&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3809</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3809#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 07:51:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Psychometics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3809</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;I should point out that a number of factor analytic studies of Piagetian tests along with other measures commit an egregious psychological error by orthogonally rotating the factors (or principal components) by some method such as varimax, which prohibits the emergence of the large general factor in all such tests. About the only wholly correct [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I should point out that a number of factor analytic studies of Piagetian tests along with other measures commit an egregious psychological error by orthogonally rotating the factors (or principal components) by some method such as varimax, which prohibits the emergence of the large general factor in all such tests. About the only wholly correct factor analysis of Piagetian tests I have found in the literature is the one by Philip Vernon (1965), a well-known expert in factor analysis and psychometrics. Many developmental psychologists, with no special training in factor analysis or psychometrics, simply select the most popular computer program, Kaiser’s varimax, for doing their factor analyses. As applied to factor extraction in the abilities domain, this is flatly wrong, not mathemati­cally, but psychologically and scientifically. In the abilities domain, either oblique rota­tion should be done to permit the hierarchical extraction of g, or the g factor should be extracted (as the first principal factor) prior to rotation of the remaining factors. (In the latter procedure, one additional factor should be extracted prior to rotation.) It will be a great day for psychology when we no longer have to read studies in which the author automatically applies the varimax computer program (which is expressly intended to “ rotate away” a general factor) and then points out that “ factor analysis” fails to reveal a general factor in his test data!&#8221;</p>
<p>Arthur Jensen, <em>Bias in Mental Testing, </em>p. 675.</p>
<p>And yet we see things such as this: <a href="http://ing.dk/artikel/135473-intelligens-er-mange-ting-bare-ikke-ven-med-alderen" class="autohyperlink" title="http://ing.dk/artikel/135473-intelligens-er-mange-ting-bare-ikke-ven-med-alderen" target="_blank">ing.dk/artikel/135473-intelligens-er-mange-ting-bare-ikke-ven-med-alderen</a></p>
<p>which is about the study: <em>- Hampshire, A., Highfield, R., Parkin, B., and Owen, A. (2012). &#8216;Fractionating Human Intelligence Neuron&#8217;, 76 (6), 1225-1237, DOI: 10.1016/j.neuron.2012.06.022</em></p>
<p>The study even cites SJ Gould as an authority on testing. How retarded is that. I can&#8217;t imagine they actually read the Carroll book they cited (1993), because then they should know some more about factor analysis. Groan</p>
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		<title>Review of Expert Political Judgement (Philip E. Tetlock)</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3800</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3800#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 12:54:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Epistemology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rationality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3800</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[Philip_E._Tetlock]_Expert_Political_Judgment_How(Bookos.org) Very interesting book! &#8212;- Game Theorists. The rivalry between Sherlock Holmes and the evil genius Professor Moriarty illustrates how indeterminacy can arise as a natural by-product of rational agents second-guessing each other. When the two ﬁrst met, Moriarty was eager, too eager, to display his capacity for interactive thinking by announcing: “All I have [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Philip_E._Tetlock_Expert_Political_Judgment_HowBookos.org_.pdf">[Philip_E._Tetlock]_Expert_Political_Judgment_How(Bookos.org)</a></p>
<p>Very interesting book!</p>
<p>&#8212;-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Game Theorists. The rivalry between Sherlock Holmes and the evil</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">genius Professor Moriarty illustrates how indeterminacy can arise as a</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">natural by-product of rational agents second-guessing each other. When</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the two ﬁrst met, Moriarty was eager, too eager, to display his capacity</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">for interactive thinking by announcing: “All I have to say has already</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">crossed your mind.” Holmes replied: “Then possibly my answer has</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">crossed yours.” As the plot unfolds, Holmes uses his superior “interac-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tive knowledge” to outmaneuver Moriarty by unexpectedly getting off</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the train at Canterbury, thwarting Moriarty who had calculated that Paris</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">was Holmes’s rational destination. Convoluted though it is, Moriarty</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">failed to recognize that Holmes had already recognized that Moriarty</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">would deduce what a rational Holmes would do under the circum-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">stances, and the odds now favored Holmes getting off the train earlier</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">than once planned.23</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Indeterminacy problems of this sort are the bread and butter of behav-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ioral game theory. In the “guess the number” game, for example, con-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">testants pick a number between 0 and 100, with the goal of making their</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guess come as close as possible to two-thirds of the average guess of all</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the contestants.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">24 In a world of only rational players—who base their</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guesses on the maximum number of levels of deduction—the equilib-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">rium is 0. However, in a contest run at Richard Thaler’s prompting by</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the Financial Times,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">25 the most popular guesses were 33 (the right guess</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">if everyone else chooses a number at random, producing an average guess</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">of 50) and 22 (the right guess if everyone thinks through the preceding</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">argument and picks 33). Dwindling numbers of respondents carried the</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">deductive logic to the third stage (picking two-thirds of 22) or higher,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">with a tiny hypereducated group recognizing the logically correct answer</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to be 0. The average guess was 18.91 and the winning guess, 13, which</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">suggests that, for this newspaper’s readership, a third order of sophisti-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cation was roughly optimal.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>interesting</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Our reluctance to acknowledge unpredictability keeps us looking for</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">predictive cues well beyond the point of diminishing returns. 39 I witnessed</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a demonstration thirty years ago that pitted the predictive abilities of a</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">classroom of Yale undergraduates against those of a single Norwegian</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">rat. The task was predicting on which side of a T-maze food would ap-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">pear, with appearances determined—unbeknownst to both the humans</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and the rat—by a random binomial process (60 percent left and 40 per-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cent right). The demonstration replicated the classic studies by Edwards</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and by Estes: the rat went for the more frequently rewarded side (getting</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">it right roughly 60 percent of the time), whereas the humans looked hard</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">for patterns and wound up choosing the left or the right side in roughly</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the proportion they were rewarded (getting it right roughly 52 percent of</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the time). Human performance suffers because we are, deep down, de-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">terministic thinkers with an aversion to probabilistic strategies that ac-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cept the inevitability of error. We insist on looking for order in random</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sequences. Confronted by the T-maze, we look for subtle patterns like</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“food appears in alternating two left/one right sequences, except after</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the third cycle when food pops up on the right.” This determination to</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ferret out order from chaos has served our species well. We are all bene-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ficiaries of our great collective successes in the pursuit of deterministic reg-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ularities in messy phenomena: agriculture, antibiotics, and countless other</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">inventions that make our comfortable lives possible. But there are occa-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sions when the refusal to accept the inevitability of error—to acknowledge</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">that some phenomena are irreducibly probabilistic—can be harmful.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>indeed, but generally it is wise to not accept the unpredictability hypothesis about some fenomena. many things that were thought unpredictable for centures turned out to be predictable after all, or at least to some degree. i have confidence we will see the same for earthquakes, weather systems and the like in the future as well.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>predictability (and the related determinism) hypothesis are good working hypotheses, even if they turn out to be wrong some times.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>this is what i wrote about years ago on my danish blog <a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/da/?p=284">here</a>. basically, its a 2&#215;2 table:</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table width="100%" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="4">
<colgroup>
<col width="85*" />
<col width="85*" />
<col width="85*" /> </colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr valign="TOP">
<td width="33%"><strong>What we think/what is true</strong></td>
<td width="33%"><strong>Determinism</strong></td>
<td width="33%"><strong>Indeterminism</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr valign="TOP">
<td width="33%"><strong>Determinism</strong></td>
<td width="33%">We keep looking for explanations for fenomena and in over time, we find regularities and explanations.</td>
<td width="33%">We waste time looking for patterns that arent there.</td>
</tr>
<tr valign="TOP">
<td width="33%"><strong>Indeterminism</strong></td>
<td width="33%">We dont spend time looking for patterns, but there actually are patterns we that cud use to predict the future, and hence we lose out on possible advances in science.</td>
<td width="33%">We dont waste time looking for patterns that arent there.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The above is assuming that indeterminism implies total unpredictability. This isnt true, but in the simplified case where were dealing with completely random fenomena and completely predictable fenomena, this is a reasonable way of looking at it. IMO, it is much better to waste time looking for explanations for things that are not orderly (after all), than risk not spotting real patterns in nature.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Finally, regardless of whether it is rash to abandon the meliorist search</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">for the Holy Grail of good judgment, most of us feel it is. When we weigh</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the perils of Type I errors (seeking correlates of good judgment that will</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">prove ephemeral) against those of Type II errors (failing to discover</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">durable correlates with lasting value), it does not feel like a close call. We</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">would rather risk anointing lucky fools over ignoring wise counsel. Radi-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cal skepticism is too bitter a doctrinal pill for most of us to swallow.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>exactly</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">But betting is one thing, paying up another. Focusing just on reactions</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">to losing reputational bets, ﬁgure 4.1 shows that neither hedgehogs nor</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">foxes changed their minds as much as Reverend Bayes says they should</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">have. But foxes move more in the Bayesian direction than do hybrids and</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">hedgehogs. And this greater movement is all the more impressive in light</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">of the fact that the Bayesian updating formula demanded less movement</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">from foxes than from other groups. Foxes move 59 percent of the pre-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">scribed amount, whereas hedgehogs move only 19 percent of the pre-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">scribed amount. Indeed, in two regional forecasting exercises, hedgehogs</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">move their opinions in the opposite direction to that prescribed by Bayes’s</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">theorem, and nudged up their conﬁdence in their prior point of view after</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">the unexpected happens. This latter pattern is not just contra-Bayesian; it</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #800000;">is incompatible with all normative theories of belief adjustment.8</span></p>
<p lang="en-US">
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backfire_effect#Backfire_effect">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backfire_effect#Backfire_effect</a></p>
<p lang="en-US">
<p lang="en-US">-</p>
<p lang="en-US">
<p lang="en-US">
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		<title>Liberal eugenics and social stratification</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3791</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3791#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 May 2013 01:13:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Eugenics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Multilogues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sociology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3791</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have/had this conversation on OKCupid. It seemed shareworthy. I&#8217;m red, and the other person is blue. &#8211; Your profile mentions eugenics as an interest&#8230; is that from a pro or anti stance? Or neutral? - Pro, although not like how eugenics was practiced in Europe in the 30&#8242;s. Big supporter of liberal eugenics, with [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have/had this conversation on OKCupid. It seemed shareworthy. I&#8217;m red, and the other person is blue.</p>
<p>&#8211;</p>
<div><span style="color: #000080;">Your profile mentions eugenics as an interest&#8230; is that from a pro or anti stance? Or neutral?</span></div>
<p>-</p>
<div><span style="color: #993300;">Pro, although not like how eugenics was practiced in Europe in the 30&#8242;s. Big supporter of liberal eugenics, with embryo selection being the most interesting current proposal if we don&#8217;t go straight to gene-therapy.</span></div>
<p>-</p>
<div><span style="color: #000080;">Hm, liberal eugenics. So you don&#8217;t see a problem with social stratification as the practical result? Or is my American capitalistic environment just influencing my thinking on that one?</span></div>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">There is already social stratification because of better genes among different groups. Indeed, this is the topic of The Bell Curve. :)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Of course, in the beginning this technology will be for the rich people, who will by that have even smarter+healthier children than they already have. The same is true for better schools. But such biotech falls quickly in price (say, logarithmic speeds cf. price of genome sequencing) and will soon benefit large parts of society, in the sense that people can have smarter and more healthy kids. But even when only the rich will get it, this will also benefit the rest, since society as a whole benefits from having smarter+more healthy people (to begin with, it will give society a larger pool of potential leaders).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">In practice, one would start by expanding the battle against hereditary diseases for the simple reason that these are the easiest to find the genes for. For instance, screening for certain diseases during pregnancy is already widely practiced, e.g. Down&#8217;s syndrome. In Denmark 99% of women who are diagnosed as being pregnant with a Down&#8217;s syndrome fetus abort it. This has dramatically lowered the number of Down&#8217;s syndrome people in Denmark, thus saving parents from the hassle, and saving society (=everybody) from the economic disadvantage such a person is/would be.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">We already know of many such genes for diseases/disease risks, while we don&#8217;t know of a single well-confirmed case for intelligence. We will find them in the next few decades. The reason they are hard to find is that there are probably 1000s of genes that affect intelligence, but a single gene has only a tiny effect (positive or negative), say 0.5 IQ. This means that one needs a huge sample to spot them from statistical noise (i.e. high powered studies).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Of course, USA is really fucked up in the relative wealth department. :) I particularly liked this video about that problem: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=oOwjN9qV2ls" class="autohyperlink" title="https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=oOwjN9qV2ls" target="_blank">www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=oOwjN9qV2ls</a></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-Emil :)</span></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;"> I&#8217;m curious about your interpretation of &#8220;better genes&#8221; and exactly in what way they contribute to one&#8217;s social standing. Correct me if I&#8217;m wrong, but your perspective sounds a bit deterministic if you&#8217;re convinced that the dominant influence on where you end up in the hierarchy is genetics, especially if your interpretation of &#8220;better genes&#8221; is centered around IQ (considering IQs in the very highest ranges are actually negatively correlated with success). It also sounds like you don&#8217;t believe environmental factors make much of a dent overall, am I correct? </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Tangent: it seems you&#8217;re pretty focused on meritocracy, and while that&#8217;s a noble sentiment and a nice idea (like Marxist communism), it unfortunately doesn&#8217;t exist in the wild (also like Marxist communism). It&#8217;s been my observation that under the facade of well-meaning plans, every large community, social structure, organization, etc. is essentially based on a Hollywood mentality: it&#8217;s not what you know, it&#8217;s who you know. I&#8217;m not arrogant enough to assume that my own experience is representative of the entire range of experiences, but I have yet to find a self-proclaimed &#8220;meritocracy&#8221; that truly *was* that. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">But back on the topic of social stratification, assuming we were able to influence the leadership potential of a given group, is it not true that when an individual or group acquires power they are unlikely to give that power up voluntarily? And will, generally speaking, restrict the ability of other individuals or groups to attain power as well? </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">And yes, the USA is fucked up in a lot of areas, but wealth is a pretty big one. Also, sorry if I seem a bit contentious, devil&#8217;s advocacy is just a beloved pastime of mine. And the better informed your conversation partner, the more fun it tends to be. I don&#8217;t need attribution, but if the anonymity was bothering you, my name&#8217;s ****** :)</span></p>
<p>-</p>
<div><span style="color: #993300;">With better genes, I just mean those that code for higher intelligence, health, and attractiveness. This is not quite what biologists mean by better genes, because they are talking about what fits with the environment. In that sense, genes for intelligence are bad genes, since there is selection for lower intelligence in most western countries (smarter people have fewer children). The movie Idiocracy is a description of what will happen in the far future unless we do something. :) I however, think that we definitely will do something to stop the dysgenic trend (as it is called).</span><span style="color: #993300;">Not deterministic, stochastic/probabilistic. No one thinks that such things are deterministic (well, no serious scholar, fatalists of course do!), but the evidence is very strong that it is highly predictable, although not perfectly so.</span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">As for social stratification, yes, since IQ-tests are the best measure of intelligence (=df pure g-factor), that is what I&#8217;m referring to. :) No, shared environment has no effect on adult intelligence, unless it&#8217;s an extremely bad environment (think really bad inner city black neighborhood). This was a surprise to researchers when they found it. It means that the usual sociological theories about it are all wrong. Perhaps needless to say, I think very lowly of sociology. A pity, since it&#8217;s an important field of study. Only the quality of the research is so low.</span><span style="color: #993300;">As for environment overall, it accounts for about ~20% of the variance. But this is non-shared environment, not shared environment (like poverty). It is currently unknown what this mysterious 20% non-shared env. consists of. Presumably, it&#8217;s things like avoiding diseases in one&#8217;s childhood, avoiding head injury, having good friends/teachers in school.</span><span style="color: #993300;">You seem to have been inflicted with the Malcolm Gladwell myth about high IQs. It is in fact wrong, higher intelligence is always better for success. We actually do have data for &gt;120 (90th percentile, white population), and intelligence still makes a difference, in much the same way as below whatever hypothetical threshold.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">See e.g. <a href="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2012/05/jensen-on-g-and-genius.html" class="autohyperlink" title="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2012/05/jensen-on-g-and-genius.html" target="_blank">infoproc.blogspot.dk/2012/05/jensen-on-g-and-genius.html</a></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">You are wrong about it not existing in the wild. Many online communities are explicitly meritocratic (e.g. Mozilla). ;) Also, in a broader sense, our democracies are somewhat meritocratic. Politicians are generally well-educated compared to the population.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Perhaps you have not looked hard enough? ;) I spent some time researching the issue somewhat thoroughly on Google. There isn&#8217;t much academic written on the subject for some reason. Weird. However, China had clearly meritocratic policies for the selection of officials in the past. Cf. Wikipedia.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Social stratification, in theory, yes. And we also see some of that in practice. For instance, many democracies have a election threshold. The way it works is that any party that receives less than that amount of votes do not get into parliament, even if they ought to have a seat based on the math alone. This helps keeping newcomers out of the political system. It is an issue that surprisingly have not received any notable attention in the academic literature. I&#8217;m mentioning it because I did some research on that issue today. :)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Yes, I normally joke (in seriousness) that the US is the worst western country. It is not wrong. It is difficult to find a single thing the US does better than say, any north European country. Sad especially because the US is the dominant country in the world right now. Although that will change to China in the near future. Not sure that&#8217;s much better. :P</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">That was a long message. :P Let me know if you need sources for whatever. I have sources, it is just such a hassle to insert them into OKC posts. :P Especially, if one wants to keep it &#8216;somewhat&#8217; casual (I always fail :D).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">(I guess I could use end notes&#8230;)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Also hi ******.</span></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;"> I was actually aware of the data on the impact of environmental factors on IQ. I was addressing the fact that a very high IQ quite often leads to social maladjustment, and that the ability to operate effectively in social situations is a much greater predictor of success than intelligence alone. (<a href="http://prometheussociety.org/cms/articles/the-outsiders" class="autohyperlink" title="http://prometheussociety.org/cms/articles/the-outsiders" target="_blank">prometheussociety.org/cms/articles/the-outsiders</a>) So to say that higher intelligence is “always” better for success as if there were a linear correlation between success and IQ is to leave out a relevant chunk of information that could potentially explain *why* instead of just *how*. Human relationships are essentially based on power dynamics, no? If success can be interpreted as the amount of power one wields in one’s social environment, then it makes sense that the scales would be tipped in the favor of the moderately intelligent, rather than the highly intelligent, who tend to relate poorly to the vast majority of people and thus have a weaker hold on them from a leadership standpoint. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">I am not acquainted with Malcolm Gladwell’s myth, would you care to elaborate? </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">I will concede your point about online communities, though with no real interaction I’m not sure they qualify as actual “communities”. And the idea that education constitutes merit may not be misguided in the Danish educational system, but it certainly is in the American system. Our difference of opinion here is very likely due to our respective environments. American “democracy” is a dog-and-pony show. I’m sure everything is wonderful and lovely in Denmark though :) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Ya wonder why there isn’t any research on what’s keeping the little guys out of power, huh? Y’know, even scientists need funding&#8230; </span><br />
<span style="color: #000080;">(When in doubt, follow the money) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">So your idea that the technology would diffuse to those outside the upper class is on shaky ground&#8230; the precedent set by other forms of technology doesn’t necessarily apply here, since the affordability of a smartphone isn’t nearly as threatening to the controlling interests as the power shift that would come as the result of making previously scarce abilities (that translate directly into leadership potential) common. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Yes, it is sad&#8230; it’s especially frustrating to live in the dominant country in the world and then go abroad to find that everyone and their mother has a firmly entrenched opinion on your politics :P But I agree, northern Europe is generally a much better place on a number of metrics. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">I am certainly curious about your sources, on principle, and because I’m just curious and like to read. So anything you’d like to pass along is appreciated.</span></p>
<p>-</p>
<div><span style="background-color: #ffffff; color: #993300;">I&#8217;ll respond to this later. I read the message and was impressed. But I&#8217;m too drunk to respond intelligently right now. :p</span></div>
<p>-</p>
<div><span style="color: #000080;">&#8230; drunk at 2pm on a Thursday? That&#8217;s Danes for you, I suppose&#8230; :P</span></div>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Today is a holy day (&lt;a href=&#8221;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ascension_of_Jesus&#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;This one&lt;/a&gt; ), so yesterday I went drinking. And I drank so much I woke up drunk after sleeping. That&#8217;s why. ;) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">The physics friday bar (my favorite) has this system: Open on all fridays. Every work day followed by a non-work day counts as a friday. So this means that this week there are two fridays (wednesday and friday). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Also, trying to see if links in HTML works&#8230;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-</span></p>
<div><span style="color: #993300;">That&#8217;s a negative apparently. Would make for easier referencing&#8230;</span></div>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-</span></p>
<div>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Hi [NAME],</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Much less drunk now. Hopefully more intelligent (phenotype at least!). :)</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">&#8212;- Intelligence and social maladjustment &#8212;-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">I didn&#8217;t know that Terman studied social maladjustment in his famous study. So you managed to find something about intelligence that I didn&#8217;t know! That doesn&#8217;t happen often. :P I knew that high IQ societies have higher rates of social maladjustment, but that could be due to self-selection effects. After all, it seems that socially maladjusted people are exactly the kind of people who would want to be members of high IQ clubs. Socially well-adapted people would seem to have less need for them. No? I think I read a study of that before, but don&#8217;t recall the exact source.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">As for success, I am referring to data like these: <a href="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2011/04/earnings-effects-of-personality.html"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2011/04/earnings-effects-of-personality.html" class="autohyperlink" title="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2011/04/earnings-effects-of-personality.html" target="_blank">infoproc.blogspot.dk/2011/04/earnings-effects-of-personality.html</a></span></a> It&#8217;s from the same study as before, and it shows that IQ holds just fine as a predictor even within a &gt;135 IQ group. It even seems to be slightly non-linear as in curving upwards, making intelligence even more important at the ultra high end.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Anyway, the most interesting thing about that study is how the five personality factors predict income. N very oddly has no effect at all, it seems. Very strange! The others are not too surprising, except for the slightly negative correlation with O. Perhaps that&#8217;s due to people with high O selecting less well paying jobs (say, professors), not because they do worse at the same kind of jobs. Testable, but I don&#8217;t know of any data.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">The Gladwell myth is the idea that there is a ceiling effect for IQ/intelligence such that more doesn&#8217;t give any benefits. This makes little sense to intelligence researchers and is flatly contracted by empirical evidence as shown above: both income and number of publications and patents. Although apparently not in the humanities&#8230; I leave the inference to the reader. :)</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">But since you said you like sources, I tried to locate the precise whereabouts of the original claim. It is mentioned in many places, say, here: <a href="http://www.drjonathanreed.co.uk/wordpress/tag/malcolm-gladwell/"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://www.drjonathanreed.co.uk/wordpress/tag/malcolm-gladwell/" class="autohyperlink" title="http://www.drjonathanreed.co.uk/wordpress/tag/malcolm-gladwell/" target="_blank">www.drjonathanreed.co.uk/wordpress/tag/malcolm-gladwell/</a></span></a> but I downloaded the book and took a look myself. Unfortunately, it isn&#8217;t on <a href="http://Bookos.org" class="autohyperlink" title="http://Bookos.org" target="_blank">Bookos.org</a> (deleted by copyright), but it&#8217;s on torrent.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">The claim is in chapter 3, here:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a name="filepos148668"></a>“<span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">But there&#8217;s a catch. The relationship between success and IQ works only up to a point. Once someone has reached an IQ of somewhere around 120, having additional IQ points doesn&#8217;t seem to translate into any measurable real-world advantage.</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a href="#filepos522439"><span style="color: #993300; text-decoration: underline;">8</span></a>”</span></span></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">The endnote is:</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">”<span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">The &#8220;IQ fundamentalist&#8221; Arthur Jensen put it thusly in his 1980 book Bias in Mental Testing (p. 113): &#8220;The four socially and personally most important threshold regions on the IQ scale are those that differentiate with high probability between persons who, because of their level of general mental ability, can or cannot attend a regular school (about IQ 50), can or cannot master the traditional subject matter of elementary school (about IQ 75), can or cannot succeed in the academic or college preparatory curriculum through high school (about IQ 105), can or cannot graduate from an accredited four-year college with grades that would qualify for admission to a professional or graduate school (about IQ 115). Beyond this, the IQ level becomes relatively unimportant in terms of ordinary occupational aspirations and criteria of success. That is not to say that there are not real differences between the intellectual capabilities represented by IQs of 115 and 150 or even between IQs of 150 and 180. But IQ differences in this upper part of the scale have far less personal implications than the thresholds just described and are generally of lesser importance for success in the popular sense than are certain traits of personality and character.&#8221;”</span></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">Actually, his reference is to EXACTLY the book that I am currently reading! Not only is Gladwell&#8217;s claim not supported by the evidence cited, but it is also contradicted by the evidence from the Terman study. The reason the reference does not help his case is that Jensen is talking about thresholds for getting through education systems. It is true that once you get past, say, 130, college will be highly manageable, even a hard subject like physics. Jensen was not talking about other real life achievements such as patents or income or publications, etc. Obviously, with major advances in science, a higher intelligence than 120 is a great idea. Studies also show that, since </span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">Nobel</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"> price winners are usually way beyond 120. </span></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2012/05/jensen-on-g-and-genius.html"><span style="color: #993300;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"><a href="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2012/05/jensen-on-g-and-genius.html" class="autohyperlink" title="http://infoproc.blogspot.dk/2012/05/jensen-on-g-and-genius.html" target="_blank">infoproc.blogspot.dk/2012/05/jensen-on-g-and-genius.html</a></span></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">But it seems that I was wrong to say that more intelligence is always better. It seems to be better for the things mentioned and things like them, but bad for social adjustment. It might not make them less happy though. The correlation between intelligence and happiness is an active research question with seemingly contradictory results.</span></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0033291712002139"><span style="color: #993300;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0033291712002139" class="autohyperlink" title="http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0033291712002139" target="_blank">dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0033291712002139</a></span></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">&#8212;- Power dynamics &#8212;-</span></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">I have no opinion, but it sounds like sociology and I googled it and it was sociology. As someone very interested in behavioral genetics, I am understandably not too impressed by that field of study. There is a reason why psychometrici</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">ans</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"> have coined two fallacies named after sociology. :) </span></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://occidentalascent.wordpress.com/2011/01/06/the-sociologists-first-and-second-fallacies/"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://occidentalascent.wordpress.com/2011/01/06/the-sociologists-first-and-second-fallacies/" class="autohyperlink" title="https://occidentalascent.wordpress.com/2011/01/06/the-sociologists-first-and-second-fallacies/" target="_blank">occidentalascent.wordpress.com/2011/01/06/the-sociologists-first-and-second-fallacies/</a></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">&#8212;- Meritocracy, education &#8212;-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Education is a decent predictor of intelligence, so that will make it measure merit if we think that it is a good idea to have smarter rulers. I certainly think so. :p But, of course, in countries where there is no free education, education is also a function of (parental) wealth, which is however also correlated with intelligence of the children, but to a much smaller degree. I like free education systems because it increases social mobility, which is necessary for any meritocratic society. :) By the way, I&#8217;m not rich and my social background are &#8216;divorced&#8217; parents without fancy jobs or educations. I am the first person in the family to attend university. No economic privilege here.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Yes, the US democracy is notoriously bad. Actually most democracies are really bad compared to what they could be. Have you looked into liquid democracy?</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">This is a pretty decent introduction.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fg0_Vhldz-8"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fg0_Vhldz-8" class="autohyperlink" title="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fg0_Vhldz-8" target="_blank">www.youtube.com/watch?v=fg0_Vhldz-8</a></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Can of course also just read on the official site:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://liquidfeedback.org/"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://liquidfeedback.org/" class="autohyperlink" title="http://liquidfeedback.org/" target="_blank">liquidfeedback.org/</a></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">There are many faults with the Danish system that I can point out if that area interests you. :P For starters, to be put on the voting ballot, one needs to gather a ridiculous amount of signatures (20,500) in complicated way. This basically means that to be put on the ballot, one needs a considerable amount of money, probably in the order of tens of thousands of dollars (&gt;100k DKK). This is the reason why my party (Pirate Party Denmark) is not on the ballot.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Are you familiar with CGPGrey&#8217;s great series of videos on voting systems?</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/user/CGPGrey"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/user/CGPGrey" class="autohyperlink" title="http://www.youtube.com/user/CGPGrey" target="_blank">www.youtube.com/user/CGPGrey</a></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">The US system is of course FPTP (first past the post), and this always leads to two party systems, which are horrible forms of democracy. Perhaps the worst kind aside from outright corrupt ones or with voter fraud (say, Russia).</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">&#8212;- Eugenics&#8217; political aspects &#8212;-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Things like embryo selection will not make talent non-scarce. It will however improve the general intelligence levels of societies if widely employed. I also don&#8217;t think it would be possible to keep such a technology super expensive no matter which power interests want that. There will quickly be a huge demand for such technology, meaning that companies can earn money by making it available, even if illegal (like illegal drugs). The technology necessary for that is not particularly difficult to operate or large etc.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">In any case, since generations take time, even if the rich have a window of opportunity of, say, 20 years before it&#8217;s so cheap as to be affordable for most people, or even free in countries with free health care, that will only be a single generation.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">With the price curves for similar technology, it won&#8217;t take long before it&#8217;s dirt cheap. Actually, the time is somewhat predictable already. Since embryo selection would at least require a number of genome sequences, any number &gt;1 will do, but more is better of course (larger variety to select from). Right now such full genome sequences are pretty expensive, but the 1,000 dollar mark is close. In 10 years, it will be very cheap so that everybody can afford it. For efficient embryo selection, one would need something like 100 or so. So, it will have to be very cheap. But it will be. :)</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Then comes the price of egg extraction or some other method of getting eggs (grow them perhaps? stem cells?). I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s very expensive even now. Sperm is obviously easy to get a hold of :P. Then they have to be combine separately. Can&#8217;t be too expensive.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">In general the only expensive thing will be the sequencing, and it is falling logarithmicly in price.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">I don&#8217;t think my belief is on shaky ground at all. I think it is more or less certain, but we can make a bet on it, and you can come find me in 30 years or so. :P</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">I got the idea from Richard Lynn&#8217;s Eugenics: A reassessment. It&#8217;s on page 252ff. I quote the beginning:</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">”Embryo selection consists of growing a number of embryos in vitro, testing</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">them for their genetic characteristics, and selecting for implantation those</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">with genetic characteristics regarded as desirable, while at the same time</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">discarding those with genetic characteristics regarded as undesirable. This</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">procedure is also known as embryo biopsy, which entails growing several blas-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">tocysts (embryos grown in vitro to eight cells), removing one of the eight</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">cells, and testing it for genetic and chromosomal defects. Verlinksy, Pergament,</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">and Strom (1990) reported the use of this procedure to screen out embryos</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">with genes for Duchenne&#8217;s muscular dystrophy and Down&#8217;s syndrome, so an</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">embryo free of these disorders could be implanted in the mother. At about</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">the same time, another use of this technique was reported by Handyside and</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">his colleagues at London University. They used IVF (in vitro fertilization) for</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">two couples in which the female was a carrier for an X-linked recessive dis-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">ease, which is expressed only in males. To avoid the potential birth of a boy</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">with the X-linked disorder, the physicians tested for the sex of the embryos</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">and implanted only females. This technique allows couples to choose the sex</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">of their babies, whether this is to avoid having babies likely to inherit serious</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">disorders, or simply because they prefer one sex rather than the other.”</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">So, actually, it has already been tested, just without sequencing. One can of course detect other problems without a full genome sequencing.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">I got the term ”liberal eugenics” from Wikipedia and from the book mentioned on Wikipedia which I also read:</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_eugenics"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_eugenics" class="autohyperlink" title="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_eugenics" target="_blank">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_eugenics</a></span></a></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicholas_Agar"><span style="color: #993300;">Agar, Nicholas</span></a> (2004). <em>Liberal Eugenics: In Defence of Human Enhancement</em>. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Standard_Book_Number"><span style="color: #993300;">ISBN</span></a> <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:BookSources/1-4051-2390-7"><span style="color: #993300;">1-4051-2390-7</span></a>.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Lynn&#8217;s book is much better. Liberal here is just non-coercive eugenics. I dislike coercive eugenics &#8212; I&#8217;m a freedom kind of person. :)</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Also, since we don&#8217;t actually know the genes for intelligence yet, but do know a lot of genes for genetic diseases &#8212; genetic diseases will be the first thing to fix with this kind of selection. And actually it was, as seen above. Genetic diseases are more common among the poor/dumb people, so they will benefit the most of this technology. Societies with free health care have an interest in making this technology available, for the simple reason that it saves money in the long run. It is very expensive to treat many chronic diseases (say, diabetes), but this technology is once per person.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Eugenics is also becoming more mainstream, just under other names. See e.g.: <a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/harvey_fineberg_are_we_ready_for_neo_evolution.html"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/harvey_fineberg_are_we_ready_for_neo_evolution.html" class="autohyperlink" title="http://www.ted.com/talks/harvey_fineberg_are_we_ready_for_neo_evolution.html" target="_blank">www.ted.com/talks/harvey_fineberg_are_we_ready_for_neo_evolution.html</a></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">&#8212;- US compared to real countries :P &#8212;-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">You don&#8217;t have a state church, or a monarchy. Denmark has both, but not too much trouble in practice. Still, there are some things. :P</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">&#8212;- Sources &#8212;-</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">I have an e-library here: <a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/books/"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/books/" class="autohyperlink" title="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/books/" target="_blank">emilkirkegaard.dk/books/</a></span></a>. Probably there are many things on that that should interest you. At least if you share any of my interests, which it looks like. :) You can also take a look at my Goodreads profile if you didn&#8217;t already.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/8884040-emil-ow-kirkegaard"><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/8884040-emil-ow-kirkegaard" class="autohyperlink" title="https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/8884040-emil-ow-kirkegaard" target="_blank">www.goodreads.com/user/show/8884040-emil-ow-kirkegaard</a></span></a></span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Some of the links are broken due to a flaw in the php-script that I don&#8217;t know how to fix.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Of course, you can also just ask me. I have tried to list the major works I got the ideas from above.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">PS. You should share some pictures with me. :)</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #000080;">Social maladjustment in high IQ societies may be due in part to self-selection, yes, particularly in the case of Mensa and the &#8220;2 percenters&#8221;, who one could argue are not qualitatively different from those of average IQ, and whose IQs do not create an intrinsic barrier to communication with the 98 percent. However, I do not think it is unlikely that there exists a threshold above which some degree of social maladjustment is unavoidable; a person whose intelligence is in the range of 160-170 would relate to a person of average IQ in much the same way a person in the 130-140 range would relate to a mentally retarded person. It seems to follow that an individual who relates to 98% of their peer group the way &#8220;gifted&#8221; people relate to the mentally retarded faces probably insurmountable obstacles in their social development. (Tangent: forgive me for presuming to diagnose a stranger over the internet, and also for presuming that the stranger in question has any interest or need for my diagnosis, but your self-described &#8220;mild case of Gregory House&#8221; sounds a bit like a manifestation of this very phenomenon, no? That is, assuming you are above the 2 percent mark :P) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">I don&#8217;t think this conversation can progress until we reach a mutually satisfying definition of &#8220;success&#8221;. Are you emphasising earnings as an indicator because this is the easiest to quantify? Or do you actually believe that earning power is synonymous with success? For the record, I don&#8217;t consider this discussion a &#8220;debate&#8221; in that I am not neccessarily looking for tangible proof. In fact, it is my belief that constraining the terms of the conversation to only that which can be tangibly proven is unneccesarily restrictive, and even detrimental to creative problem solving. Not that statistics should be ignored&#8230; but the skepticism with which you regard sociological research should perhaps be extended more broadly, as bad science is not the exclusive domain of sociology (and even interpreting &#8220;good&#8221; science can be tricky). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">On the personality factors front, I would suggest that &#8220;O&#8221; might translate into higher usage of recreational substances, particularly in the college years that are so formative to one&#8217;s career path (in the US, anyway), potentially leading to lower academic success rates. Alternately, people with high &#8220;O&#8221; scores may be prone to boredom and would be less likely to specialize, specialization (supposedly) being key to success in modern society. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Yes, Gladwell sounds like an idiot. An idiot or a politician. The contempt with which you regard sociology is similar to the contempt with which I regard politics. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Hm, happiness&#8230; I believe the notion that happiness is objectively quantifiable is a mistaken one. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;"> &#8211; </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Your refusal to engage any argument that smacks of sociology does not render it moot, it simply narrows your field of vision. I do not suffer under the delusion that the vast majority of sociological research is devoid of fallacy, or even particularly useful at all in an academic sense (more often than not, anything politically useful is actually academically harmful). But I also don&#8217;t allow the absence of reliable statistics to preclude any sort of observation or speculation, because absolute certainty is not always possible. And also because leaning on figures as a crutch is the hallmark of those incapable of original thought :) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">This article may interest you, and will also probably seal your judgement of America as the Worst Western Country (TM): </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;"><a href="http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-myth-of-american-meritocracy/" class="autohyperlink" title="http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-myth-of-american-meritocracy/" target="_blank">www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-myth-of-american-meritocracy/</a> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">As a disclaimer, I do not regularly read the American Conservative, nor do I identify as a conservative. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Your educational system is probably my favorite aspect of Scandinavian style socialism. At least it sounds good from an outside perspective, and apparently it&#8217;s worked well for at least one member of your society :) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Liquid democracy is an interesting form, but it does not solve the real problem: there are too many people, and too many of those people are idiots. The average person can&#8217;t be trusted to deliver my mail properly, let alone make national policy decisions. Populism is in vogue right now, and while I am not an elitist, I don&#8217;t particularly trust any populist philosophy on its face, as populism is often anti-intellectuallism masquerading as some &#8220;noble savage&#8221; ground-swelling. As presented by your video, liquid democracy has a significant populist component. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">I understand your frustration with the Danish system, and I believe you that it has its faults, but the US&#8217;s system is closer to the Russian system than you might think. Indeed, for all our posturing, American and Russian culture are not too dissimilar (I and a Russian friend of mine have fun comparing and contrasting our respective backgrounds, and we are often shocked). For instance, both Kennedy and Bush faced charges of voter fraud that were not without substance&#8230; but corruption in American politics is deep-rooted and generally not an appropriate conversation topic in polite company, so I will merely say this: whatever your woes up there in your nordic bubble, they do not compare with the clusterfuck that is American politics. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Just because something &#8220;should&#8221; happen doesn&#8217;t mean it will. I think you underestimate the ability of those in power (be it political or economic) to abuse that power&#8230; but perhaps that is tempered in a socialistic system. It is also important to keep in mind that taboo is a powerful tool. Many cultures, especially those with strong populist sentiment, harbor an innate distrust of scientists and, by extension, technology. The industrial revolution eradicated feudalism and created the middle class, and what thanks did the scientists get? Luddites burning down the mills! The strongest form of control is not necessarily the most direct one. Look at what religion has done for the past 10,000 years. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Your point about fixing genetic diseases (especially in the case of state-subsidized health care) does seem to be more solidly based in reality, though. And by reality I mean money. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">You have quite a collection there&#8230; </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">A Billion Wicked Thoughts is fascinating, definitely pick that up if you haven&#8217;t. Also, if you haven&#8217;t read Sex at Dawn, that is fascinating as well. Gives us poly people some ammunition when the monogamists start moralizing or telling us it&#8217;s &#8220;unnatural&#8221; :) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">And I suppose it&#8217;s only fair&#8230;</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #000080;">[Pictures]</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">The causes of high g social maladjustment </span></p>
<p lang="en-US">
<span style="color: #993300;">I&#8217;m thinking that the high g social maladjustment is due to loneliness, lack of similar friends and stuff like that. Although it could be a case of &#8216;direct&#8217; pleiotropy as well (one gene with multiple phenotypic effects). </span></p>
<p lang="en-US">
<span style="color: #993300;">The trouble with IQ&#8217;s as a measure of intelligence is that it is not a ratio scale. So one cannot conclude that a, say, person at 70 IQ is twice as unintelligent as a person of 140, and the other way around with twice as smart. This bothered Jensen who wanted to make psychology a regular hard science (a branch of biology/physiology), so he spent much of his career trying to establish a connection with something that does use a ratio scale: reaction times. It turns out that reaction times are related to g, and in systematic ways. This of course fits with conventional wisdom with the bright people being &#8220;quick-witted&#8221; as well. Although this technical aspect of intelligence research does not interest me particularly.</span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">I cite: Jensen&#8217;s Clocking the mind: Mental Chronometry and Individual Differences (2006), which I read some parts of. It is also discussed at length in Jensen 1998. </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">But I agree that there is a kind of communication barrier between people of different g levels, but perhaps it is not linear. Suppose there is a barrier between, say, 140 and 100 such that persons that different almost never get along. It seems to me that it doesn&#8217;t follow from that, that there must be a similar barrier between ex. 140 and 180. </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">The cause of such barriers, IMO, is that the normal folks lack academic interests and simply don&#8217;t know much about anything academic. This makes conversation difficult. A person of 140 is surely capable of great knowledge of academic interests, although a 180 is without a doubt much better at it. But still, there is a good chance of mutual interests. </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">Self assessment of intelligence is very difficult. Not just because we are naturally inclined to overrate ourselves (self serving bias, men especially), but it is also known that &#8216;smart people&#8217; 75 percentile) tend to underestimate themselves in experiments (cf. Dunning-Kruger effect). But we also know that the higher we put the number, the lower is the base rate, which makes it more difficult to have convincing evidence (cf. base rate fallacy). Together with the above, there is a lack of good, high ceiling IQ tests on the web for free. It is also not wise to rely on friend&#8217;s judgments as they are also biased (in one&#8217;s favor). University grades don&#8217;t correlate too well with IQ (0.3ish), so not too useful of a guide either. General achievement in life is also the function of things like motivation, creativity, opportunity and chance. So, difficult to use that too. </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">But I did take Mensa&#8217;s test and got a passing grade. :p I&#8217;m not a member though. </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;">Success </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">I am of course not defining success as earnings. I just picked an example of something that is usually regarded as one measure of success (because people want money), and which there is correlational data about with IQ. I also mentioned patents and STEM publications. In any case, my goals are polymathy (very difficult), and leading the Pirate Party to election in Denmark. Both are going well IMO. I did create a spelling reform proposal that multiple respectful people said nice things about, so I&#8217;m pretty proud of that. Especially because it was something I did alone+without help, before entering university, before studying linguistics in a more serious way. I also created an innovative logic system, although much of that work is unpublished sitting on my desktop because I lost interest in it. I think it&#8217;s cool and useful for philosophy, but philosophy no longer holds my main interest. </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">I looked up &#8220;success&#8221;. Wiktionary just reports &#8220;The achievement of one&#8217;s aim or goal. [from 16th c.]&#8220;. So, being a high earner can be a success, if that was one&#8217;s goal. I don&#8217;t care too much about money. I tend to donate it. For instance, to Wikipedia, Wikileaks and the like. </span></p>
<p lang="en-US"><span style="color: #993300;"> Personality and earnings </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">I checked our suggestion on O and drug usage, well, drinking. It is borne out by what appears to be a decent study. Decent sample size. Higher O does correlate with more drinking. Also as expected higher C correlates negatively with more drinking. Higher N also positively. </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://postimg.org/image/pjpgryhml/full/" class="autohyperlink" title="http://postimg.org/image/pjpgryhml/full/" target="_blank">postimg.org/image/pjpgryhml/full/</a> </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Trajectories-of-alcohol-and-drug-use-and-dependence-from-adolescence-to-adulthood-The-effects-of-familial-alcoholism-and-personality.pdf" class="autohyperlink" title="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Trajectories-of-alcohol-and-drug-use-and-dependence-from-adolescence-to-adulthood-The-effects-of-familial-alcoholism-and-personality.pdf" target="_blank">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Trajectories-of-alcohol-and-drug-use-and-dependence-from-adolescence-to-adulthood-The-effects-of-familial-alcoholism-and-personality.pdf</a> </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">Well, more work is needed for path analysis. I didn&#8217;t read the study, just checked the statistics. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Happiness </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">How come? Anyway, it seems it is. Although it is not so simple as previously thought. The heritability of happiness is also known with some certainly from twin studies and the like. It is usually put in the 50-80% range. Similar to IQ. Height is something like 90%. </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/daniel_kahneman_the_riddle_of_experience_vs_memory.html" class="autohyperlink" title="http://www.ted.com/talks/daniel_kahneman_the_riddle_of_experience_vs_memory.html" target="_blank">www.ted.com/talks/daniel_kahneman_the_riddle_of_experience_vs_memory.html</a> </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2012/06/heritability-of-behavioral-traits/#.UZMeSso_Qe4" class="autohyperlink" title="http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2012/06/heritability-of-behavioral-traits/#.UZMeSso_Qe4" target="_blank">blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2012/06/heritability-of-behavioral-traits/#.UZMeSso_Qe4</a> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Sociology </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">I don&#8217;t disagree with what you say, but I don&#8217;t really know enough about &#8220;power&#8221; as thought about in sociology to say anything. I read much of the Wikipedia article on power. It has 14 sections for &#8220;Theories&#8221; the last of which is called &#8220;Other theories&#8221;. I knew of some of the research though (ultimatum and dictator games), because these are employed in evolutionary psychology in studies of cheater detection. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Meritocracy in the US </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">I already read that article. :P I read texts from all over the political spectrum. Something about now being narrow minded? :p Being in an information bubble is a bad idea, as it leads to confirmation bias. </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filter_bubble" class="autohyperlink" title="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filter_bubble" target="_blank">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filter_bubble</a> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Education in Scandinavia </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">Free education is the best meritocratic system for the reason that it being free maximizes the chances that a poor/bad SES but gifted person gets the best education. It is the best way to have social mobility. According to the equality people (of The Spirit Level fame), social mobility is good. From an intelligence research perspective, it is a good idea because the variance in human abilities is so large, even within families (average sibling IQ difference is 12, compared with 15 in the population). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">Liquid democracy </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">You say you&#8217;re not an elitist, but then you say elitist things. :P Actually, I think (hope) that liquid democracy can solve a problem not possible to form with regular representative democracies. It is connected with the thing we were talking about earlier: the communication between different g groups. The idea is that one has a certain range where one can see who is the smartest/best leader. I would explain it, but someone explained it here: </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/people-arent-smart-enough-democracy-flourish-scientists-185601411.html" class="autohyperlink" title="http://news.yahoo.com/people-arent-smart-enough-democracy-flourish-scientists-185601411.html" target="_blank">news.yahoo.com/people-arent-smart-enough-democracy-flourish-scientists-185601411.html</a> </span><br />
<span style="color: #993300;">The study is here: <a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/A-Mathematical-Model-of-Democratic-Elections.pdf" class="autohyperlink" title="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/A-Mathematical-Model-of-Democratic-Elections.pdf" target="_blank">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/A-Mathematical-Model-of-Democratic-Elections.pdf</a> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">His assumption of complete inability to judge who is a better leader than oneself is without a doubt wrong, but there is truth to the idea that there is a range based on oneself, which doesn&#8217;t extend too far rightward. Given that, the results should be somewhat mediocre (to fit with reality). However, if people could delegate votes recursively, one could see a delegation of votes from a person at x level, to someone higher at y, who would delegate it to someone higher at z, and so on for a few delegations. That would enable the vote to go to someone much higher than x could &#8216;see&#8217;. In theory, that should work very well. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">I have no idea how well that idea would work in practice. Worth a try? </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">As for too many dumb people, yes. See e.g. this for depressing reading. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Deliberative-Democracy-and-Political-Ignorance.pdf" class="autohyperlink" title="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Deliberative-Democracy-and-Political-Ignorance.pdf" target="_blank">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Deliberative-Democracy-and-Political-Ignorance.pdf</a> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">It does have a populist component, if only because there is no way else to get such a system implemented. It will also benefit the current system for other reasons than the above. For instance, the majority of the Danish population supports cannabis legalization, but the politicians are against it. With LD they could vote on it themselves. Similar for e.g. active euthanasia. Might also give other bad results though&#8230; As with other large changes, it is too difficult to predict with certainty, and the best way is to try it out. My idea is to get it implemented in some local governments, and then see how it goes. The more near-term goal is to get it implemented in the Danish Pirate Party. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;">-Emil</span></p>
<p lang="en-US">
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		<title>Review: The Signal and the Noise</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3786</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3786#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Apr 2013 23:53:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Epistemology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Meta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sociology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3786</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Signal and the Noise Why So Many Predictions Fail &#8211; but Some Don’t Nate Silver 544p &#160; It is a pretty interesting book especially becus it covers some areas of science not usually covered in popsci (geology, meteorology), and i learned a lot. it is also clearly written and easy to read, which speeds [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/The-Signal-and-the-Noise-Why-So-Many-Predictions-Fail-but-Some-Don’t-Nate-Silver-544p.pdf">The Signal and the Noise Why So Many Predictions Fail &#8211; but Some Don’t Nate Silver 544p</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>It is a pretty interesting book especially becus it covers some areas of science not usually covered in popsci (geology, meteorology), and i learned a lot. it is also clearly written and easy to read, which speeds up reading speeds, making the 450ish pages rather quickly to devour. From a learning perspectiv this is awesome as it allows for faster learning. it shud also be mentioned that it has a lot of very useful illustrations which i shared on my social networks while reading it.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“Fortunately, Dustin is really cocky, because if he was the kind of person </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">who was intimidated—if he had listened to those people—it would have ruined </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">him. He didn’t listen to people. He continued to dig in and swing from his heels </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and eventually things turned around for him.”</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Pedroia has what John Sanders calls a “major league memory”—which is to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">say a short one. He isn&#8217;t troubled by a slump, because he is damned sure that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">he’s playing the game the right way, and in the long run, that’s what matters. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Indeed, he has very little tolerance for anything that distracts him from doing </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">his job. This doesn’t make him the most generous human being, but it is ex­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">actly what he needs in order to play second base for the Boston Red Sox, and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">that’s the only thing that Pedroia cares about.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“Our weaknesses and our strengths are always very intimately connected,” </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">James said. “Pedroia made strengths out of things that would be weaknesses for </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other players.”</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This sounds like low agreeableness to me. I wonder if Big Five can predict baseball success?</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The statistical reality of accuracy isn’t necessarily the governing paradigm </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">when it comes to commercial weather forecasting. It’s more the perception of </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">accuracy that adds value in the eyes of the consumer.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">For instance, the for-profit weather forecasters rarely predict exactly a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">50 percent chance of rain, which might seem wishy-washy and indecisive to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">consumers.41 Instead, they’ll flip a coin and round up to 60, or down to 40, even </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">though this makes the forecasts both less accurate and less honest.42</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Floehr also uncovered a more flagrant example of fudging the numbers,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">something that may be the worst-kept secret in the weather industry. Most com­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">mercial weather forecasts are biased, and probably deliberately so. In particu­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">lar, they are biased toward forecasting more precipitation than will actually </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">occur43—what meteorologists call a “wet bias.” The further you get from the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">government’s original data, and the more consumer facing the forecasts, the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">worse this bias becomes. Forecasts “add value” by subtracting accuracy.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>thats interesting. never heard of this.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">This logic is a little circular. TV weathermen say they aren’t bothering to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">make accurate forecasts because they figure the public won&#8217;t believe them any­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">way. But the public shouldn t believe them, because the forecasts aren’t accurate.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">This becomes a more serious problem when there is something urgent— </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">something like Hurricane Katrina. Lots of Americans get their weather infor­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">mation from local sources49 rather than directly from the Hurricane Center, so </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">they will still be relying on the goofball on Channel 7 to provide them with </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">accurate information. If there is a mutual distrust between the weather fore­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">caster and the public, the public may not listen when they need to most.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Nicely illustrating for importance of honesty in reporting data, even on local TV.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In fact, the actual value for GDP fell outside the economists’ prediction </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">interval six times in eighteen years, or fully one-third of the time. Another </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">study,18 which ran these numbers back to the beginnings of the Survey of Pro­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">fessional Forecasters in 1968, found even worse results: the actual figure for </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">GDP fell outside the prediction interval almost h a l f the time. There is almost </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">no chance19 that the economists have simply been unlucky; they fundamentally </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">overstate the reliability of their predictions.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In reality, when a group of economists give you their GDP forecast, the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">true 90 percent prediction interval—based on how these forecasts have actually </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">performed20 and not on how accurate the economists claim them to be—spans</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">about 6.4 points of GDP (equivalent to a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">percent).*</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">When you hear on the news that GDP will grow by 2.5 percent next year, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">that means it could quite easily grow at a spectacular rate of 5.7 percent instead. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Or it could fall by 0.7 percent—a fairly serious recession. Economists haven’t </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">been able to do any better than that, and there isn’t much evidence that their </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">forecasts are improving. The old joke about economists’ having called nine out </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">of the last six recessions correctly has some truth to it; one actual statistic is that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in the 1990s, economists predicted only 2 of the 60 recessions around the world </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a year ahead of time.21</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>and this is why we cant have nice things, i mean macroeconomics</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">I have no idea whether I was really a good player at the very outset. But the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">bar set by the competition was low, and my statistical background gave me an </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">advantage. Poker is sometimes perceived to be a highly psychological game, a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">battle of wills in which opponents seek to make perfect reads on one another by </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">staring into one another’s souls, looking for “tells” that reliably betray the con­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tents of the other hands. There is a little bit of this in poker, especially at the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">higher limits, but not nearly as much as you’d think. (The psychological factors </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in poker come mostly in the form of self-discipline.) Instead, poker is an incred­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ibly mathematical game that depends on making probabilistic judgments amid </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">uncertainty, the same skills that are important in any type of prediction.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The obvious idea is to program computers to play poker for u online. If they play against bad humans, they shud bring in a steady flow of cash for almost free.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">“Fortunately, Dustin is really cocky, because if he was the kind of person </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">who was intimidated—if he had listened to those people—it would have ruined </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">him. He didn’t listen to people. He continued to dig in and swing from his heels </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">and eventually things turned around for him.”</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">Pedroia has what John Sanders calls a “major league memory”—which is to </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">say a short one. He isn&#8217;t troubled by a slump, because he is damned sure that </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">he’s playing the game the right way, and in the long run, that’s what matters. </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">Indeed, he has very little tolerance for anything that distracts him from doing </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">his job. This doesn’t make him the most generous human being, but it is ex­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">actly what he needs in order to play second base for the Boston Red Sox, and </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">that’s the only thing that Pedroia cares about.</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">“Our weaknesses and our strengths are always very intimately connected,” </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">James said. “Pedroia made strengths out of things that would be weaknesses for </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">other players.”</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">This sounds like low agreeableness to me. I wonder if Big Five can predict baseball success?</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">-</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">The statistical reality of accuracy isn’t necessarily the governing paradigm </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">when it comes to commercial weather forecasting. It’s more the perception of </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">accuracy that adds value in the eyes of the consumer.</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">For instance, the for-profit weather forecasters rarely predict exactly a </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">50 percent chance of rain, which might seem wishy-washy and indecisive to </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">consumers.41 Instead, they’ll flip a coin and round up to 60, or down to 40, even </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">though this makes the forecasts both less accurate and less honest.42</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">Floehr also uncovered a more flagrant example of fudging the numbers,</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">something that may be the worst-kept secret in the weather industry. Most com­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">mercial weather forecasts are biased, and probably deliberately so. In particu­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">lar, they are biased toward forecasting more precipitation than will actually </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">occur43—what meteorologists call a “wet bias.” The further you get from the </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">government’s original data, and the more consumer facing the forecasts, the </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">worse this bias becomes. Forecasts “add value” by subtracting accuracy.</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">thats interesting. never heard of this.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">-</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">This logic is a little circular. TV weathermen say they aren’t bothering to </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">make accurate forecasts because they figure the public won&#8217;t believe them any­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">way. But the public shouldn t believe them, because the forecasts aren’t accurate.</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">This becomes a more serious problem when there is something urgent— </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">something like Hurricane Katrina. Lots of Americans get their weather infor­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">mation from local sources49 rather than directly from the Hurricane Center, so </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">they will still be relying on the goofball on Channel 7 to provide them with </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">accurate information. If there is a mutual distrust between the weather fore­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">caster and the public, the public may not listen when they need to most.</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">Nicely illustrating for importance of honesty in reporting data, even on local TV.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">-</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">In fact, the actual value for GDP fell outside the economists’ prediction </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">interval six times in eighteen years, or fully one-third of the time. Another </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">study,18 which ran these numbers back to the beginnings of the Survey of Pro­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">fessional Forecasters in 1968, found even worse results: the actual figure for </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">GDP fell outside the prediction interval almost h a l f the time. There is almost </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">no chance19 that the economists have simply been unlucky; they fundamentally </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">overstate the reliability of their predictions.</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">In reality, when a group of economists give you their GDP forecast, the </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">true 90 percent prediction interval—based on how these forecasts have actually </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">performed20 and not on how accurate the economists claim them to be—spans</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">about 6.4 points of GDP (equivalent to a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">percent).*</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">When you hear on the news that GDP will grow by 2.5 percent next year, </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">that means it could quite easily grow at a spectacular rate of 5.7 percent instead. </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">Or it could fall by 0.7 percent—a fairly serious recession. Economists haven’t </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">been able to do any better than that, and there isn’t much evidence that their </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">forecasts are improving. The old joke about economists’ having called nine out </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">of the last six recessions correctly has some truth to it; one actual statistic is that </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">in the 1990s, economists predicted only 2 of the 60 recessions around the world </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">a year ahead of time.21</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">and this is why we cant have nice things, i mean macroeconomics</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">-</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">I have no idea whether I was really a good player at the very outset. But the </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">bar set by the competition was low, and my statistical background gave me an </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">advantage. Poker is sometimes perceived to be a highly psychological game, a </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">battle of wills in which opponents seek to make perfect reads on one another by </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">staring into one another’s souls, looking for “tells” that reliably betray the con­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">tents of the other hands. There is a little bit of this in poker, especially at the </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">higher limits, but not nearly as much as you’d think. (The psychological factors </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">in poker come mostly in the form of self-discipline.) Instead, poker is an incred­</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">ibly mathematical game that depends on making probabilistic judgments amid </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="color: #800000;">uncertainty, the same skills that are important in any type of prediction.</span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">The obvious idea is to program computers to play poker for u online. If they play against bad humans, they shud bring in a steady flow of cash for almost free.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">-</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Reading material on cognitive epidemiology</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3781</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3781#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Apr 2013 10:48:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Genetics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Psychometics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sociology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3781</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I recently got interested in a new field en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology Cognitive epidemiology is a field of research that examines the associations between intelligence test scores (IQ scores or extracted g-factors) and health, more specifically morbidity (mental and physical) and mortality. Typically, test scores are obtained at an early age, and compared to later morbidity and mortality. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I recently got interested in a new field <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology" class="autohyperlink" title="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology" target="_blank">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology</a></p>
<p><span style="color: #993300;"><strong>Cognitive epidemiology</strong> is a field of research that examines the associations between <a title="IQ" href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IQ"><span style="color: #993300;">intelligence test scores</span></a> (IQ scores or extracted <a title="G factor (psychometrics)" href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G_factor_%28psychometrics%29"><span style="color: #993300;"><em>g</em>-factors</span></a>) and health, more specifically morbidity (mental and physical) and mortality. Typically, test scores are obtained at an early age, and compared to later morbidity and mortality. In addition to exploring and establishing these associations, cognitive epidemiology seeks to understand causal relationships between intelligence and health outcomes. Researchers in the field argue that intelligence measured at an early age is an important predictor of later health and mortality differences.<sup id="cite_ref-deary.26batty_1-0"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology#cite_note-deary.26batty-1"><span style="color: #993300;">[1]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-2"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology#cite_note-2"><span style="color: #993300;">[2]</span></a></sup></span></p>
<p>-</p>
<p>I decided to scout the academic literature. Here&#8217;s some for those also curious.</p>
<p>Special issue of <em>Intelligence</em>, 2009, about cognitive epidemiology.</p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/1.-Introduction-to-the-special-issue-on-cognitive-epidemiology.pdf">1. Introduction to the special issue on cognitive epidemiology</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/2.-The-association-of-childhood-intelligence-with-mortality-risk-from-adolescence-to-middle-age-Findings-from-the-Aberdeen-Children-of-the-1950s-cohor.pdf">2. The association of childhood intelligence with mortality risk from adolescence to middle age Findings from the Aberdeen Children of the 1950s cohor</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/3.-Cognition-and-incident-coronary-heart-disease-in-late-midlife-The-Whitehall-II-study.pdf">3. Cognition and incident coronary heart disease in late midlife The Whitehall II study</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/4.-Can-we-understand-why-cognitive-function-predicts-mortality-Results-from-the-Caerphilly-Prospective-Study-CaPS.pdf">4. Can we understand why cognitive function predicts mortality Results from the Caerphilly Prospective Study (CaPS)</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/5.-Cognition-and-survival-in-a-biracial-urban-population-of-old-people.pdf">5. Cognition and survival in a biracial urban population of old people</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/6.-Fluid-intelligence-is-independently-associated-with-all-cause-mortality-over-17-years-in-an-elderly-community-sample.pdf">6. Fluid intelligence is independently associated with all-cause mortality over 17 years in an elderly community sample</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/7.-Reaction-time-and-established-risk-factors-for-total-and-cardiovascular-disease-mortality.pdf">7. Reaction time and established risk factors for total and cardiovascular disease mortality</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/8.-IQ-in-childhood-and-the-metabolic-syndrome-in-middle-age-Extended-follow-up-of-the-1946-British-Birth-Cohort-Study.pdf">8. IQ in childhood and the metabolic syndrome in middle age Extended follow-up of the 1946 British Birth Cohort Study</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/9.-The-association-between-IQ-in-adolescence-and-a-range-of-health-outcomes-at-40-in-the-1979-US-National-Longitudinal-Study-of-Youth.pdf">9. The association between IQ in adolescence and a range of health outcomes at 40 in the 1979 US National Longitudinal Study of Youth</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/10.-Does-a-fitness-factor-contribute-to-the-association-between-intelligence-and-health-outcomes.pdf">10. Does a fitness factor contribute to the association between intelligence and health outcomes</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/11.-Intelligence-in-childhood-and-risk-of-psychological-distress-in-adulthood-The-1958-National-Child-Development-Survey-and-the-1970-British-Cohort-S.pdf">11. Intelligence in childhood and risk of psychological distress in adulthood The 1958 National Child Development Survey and the 1970 British Cohort S</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/12.-Level-of-cognitive-performance-as-a-correlate-and-predictor-of-health-behaviors-that-protect-against-cognitive-decline-in-late-life-The-path-through-life-study.pdf">12. Level of cognitive performance as a correlate and predictor of health behaviors that protect against cognitive decline in late life The path through life study</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/13.-Intelligence-and-persisting-with-medication-for-two-years-Analysis-in-a-randomised-controlled-trial.pdf">13. Intelligence and persisting with medication for two years Analysis in a randomised controlled trial</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/14.-How-intelligence-and-education-contribute-to-substance-use-Hints-from-the-Minnesota-Twin-family-study.pdf">14. How intelligence and education contribute to substance use Hints from the Minnesota Twin family study</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/15.-Cognitive-epidemiology-With-emphasis-on-untangling-cognitive-ability-and-socioeconomic-status.pdf">15. Cognitive epidemiology With emphasis on untangling cognitive ability and socioeconomic status</a></p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p>Some other papers that i found:</p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Why-is-intelligence-correlated-with-semen-quality-Biochemical-pathways-common-to-sperm-and-neuron-function-and-their-vulnerability-to-pleiotropic-mutations.pdf">Why is intelligence correlated with semen quality Biochemical pathways common to sperm and neuron function and their vulnerability to pleiotropic mutations</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Why-do-intelligent-people-live-longer.pdf">Why do intelligent people live longer</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/The-relationships-between-cognitive-ability-and-dental-status-in-a-national-sample-of-USA-adults.pdf">The relationships between cognitive ability and dental status in a national sample of USA adults</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Rare-Copy-Number-Deletions-Predict-Individual-Variation-in-Intelligence.pdf">Rare Copy Number Deletions Predict Individual Variation in Intelligence</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Looking-for-‘System-Integrity’-in-Cognitive-Epidemiology.pdf">Looking for ‘System Integrity’ in Cognitive Epidemiology</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Intelligence-and-semen-quality-are-positively-correlated1.pdf">Intelligence and semen quality are positively correlated</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Intelligence-Is-It-the-Epidemiologists-Elusive-Fundamental-Cause-of-Social-Class-Inequalities-in-Health.pdf">Intelligence Is It the Epidemiologists&#8217; Elusive Fundamental Cause of Social Class Inequalities in Health</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Does-IQ-explain-socioeconomic-inequalities-in-health-Evidence-from-a-population-based-cohort-study-in-the-west-of-Scotland.pdf">Does IQ explain socioeconomic inequalities in health Evidence from a population based cohort study in the west of Scotland</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Cognitive-epidemiology-J-Epidemiol-Community-Health-2007-Deary-378-84.pdf">Cognitive epidemiology J Epidemiol Community Health-2007-Deary-378-84</a></p>
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		<title>Comments on Linguistic Anthropology (Laura Ahearn)</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3751</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3751#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Apr 2013 21:59:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Linguistics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Consider Marx’s famous words in “The Eighteenth Brumaire o f Louis Bonaparte” : “Men make their own history, but they do not make it just as they please; they do not make it under circumstances chosen by themselves, but under circumstances directly found, given and trans­ mitted from the past” (Marx 1978[1852]:595). In place o [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="color: #800000;">Consider Marx’s famous words in “The Eighteenth Brumaire o f Louis </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Bonaparte” : “Men make their own history, but they do not make it </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">just as they please; they do not make it under circumstances chosen by </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">themselves, but under circumstances directly found, given and trans­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">mitted from the past” (Marx 1978[1852]:595). In place o f the word </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“history” in this remark, one could easily substitute “ language,” “soci­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ety,” or “ culture,” and the statement would remain equally insightful. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">At the core o f what is known as “practice theory” is this seeming </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">paradox: that language, culture, and society all apparently have a pre­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">existing reality but at the same time are very much the products ot </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">individual humans’ words and actions.12 Many linguistic anthropolo­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">gists explicitly or implicitly draw upon practice theory in their work.</span></p>
<p>Correct. Equally insightless.</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In sum, as important as the interview is as a research method, it is </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">often mistakenly assumed to provide a simple, straightforward path </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">toward “ the facts” or “the truth.” Interviews can indeed provide rich </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">insights, but they must be appreciated as the complex, culturally </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">mediated social interactions that they are.</span></p>
<p>I cringe every time I read ”the truth” and ”the facts”. Social constructivism -_-</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">A researcher interested in language ideologies might conduct a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">matched guise test, a process that involves recording individuals as </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">they read a short passage in two or more languages or dialects </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(“guises”). In other words, if four people are recorded, eight (or more) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">readings o f the same passage might be produced. For example, a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">researcher interested in whether listeners judge people who speak </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">African American English differently from those who speak standard</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">American English might choose four individuals who can code-switch </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">fluently between these two ways o f speaking. Each o f these four </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">individuals would record two readings o f the same passage, one in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">African American English, the other in standard American English. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">These eight readings would then be shuffled up and played back to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other people who do not know that there were only four readers </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">instead o f eight. The listeners would be asked to rank each o f the eight </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">readings, rating each according to how honest, intelligent, sophisti­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cated, likable, and so on, they thought the reader was. By comparing </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the scores listeners give to the same speaker reading in African </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">American English vs. standard American English, it is possible to hold </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a person’s other voice qualities constant and thereby determine how </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">much influence simply speaking one or the other o f these language </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">variants has on listeners’ attitudes toward the speaker. In other words, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">matched guise tests can provide a measure o f people’s unconscious </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">language ideologies &#8211; which can be related to racial prejudices.6</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">It is telling that the author uses ”prejudices” instead of, say, ”beliefs”. Since it is well known that american blacks ARE less intelligent, and that there is a certain dialect used mostly by black americans, this the usage of this dialect can hence be used as a diagnostic tool for identifying american blacks. This in turn makes it a useful proxy for low intelligence (white american standards). Indeed, not using the information for that purpose if one knows about these correlations, would be to ignore relevant data.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The message to scholars interested in language acquisition, therefore, is </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">that they should consider cultural values and social practices to be </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">inseparable from language and its acquisition (Slobin 1992:6). And the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">message to cultural anthropologists and other social scientists interested </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in processes o f childhood social practices, education, apprenticeship, or </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other ways o f learning or entering into new social groups is that they </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">should look closely at linguistic practices. In other words, learning a first </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">language and becoming a culturally competent member o f a society are </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">two facets ot a single process. It is virtually impossible for a child to learn </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a language without also becoming socialized into a particular cultural </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">group, and, conversely, a child cannot become a competent member o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">such a group without mastering the appropriate linguistic practices.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">What about learning foreign languages? Especially dead foreign languages. Or constructed languages? Does one become a member of the nonexistent Klingon soceity if one learns that as a child? They must have some other way of thinking about this, if these obvious counter-examples do not work.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Franz Boas (1858-1942) is often considered the father o f anthropology </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in the United States. An important part o f Boas’s research agenda </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">involved disproving racist assertions about the existence o f so-called </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“primitive” languages, races, and cultures. At the turn o f the twentieth </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">century, when Boas was writing, some scholars were arguing that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">people in certain societies were incapable o f complex, abstract, “scien­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tific” thought because o f the seeming lack o f “logical” grammatical </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">categories in their languages. Boas, who was keen on demonstrating </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the essential equality and humanity o f all people despite their tremen­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">dous linguistic and cultural diversity, disputed this interpretation, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">proposing instead that all linguistic and cultural practices were equally </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">complex and logical. The particular language spoken by a group o f</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">people merely tended to reflect their habitual cultural practices, Boas </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">maintained. Language might facilitate certain types o f thinking and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">could provide a valuable way o f understanding unconscious patterns </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">o f culture and thought, Boas declared, but it would not prevent people </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">from thinking in a way that differed from the categories presented </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">most conveniently in their language.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">I found it difficult to believe that there is nothing to this general idea. I expect there to be some correlations between population IQ and their language. And just trivial things like that indo-european and chinese languages are associated with high IQ. Something like that high IQ is associated with some measure of the advancedness of the language in question. But perhaps it&#8217;s not true. In any case, I don&#8217;t presume to know to begin with and am willing to look at the data. Apparently, this wasn&#8217;t true for Boas.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Another possible way o f researching the influence o f language-in- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">general on thought is studying children who have not yet learned a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">language. Clearly, it would be highly unethical to deprive a child o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">access to a language; furthermore, studies o f abused children who have </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">not been exposed to any language involve so many complicating fac­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tors that the causes o f cognitive differences are impossible to ascertain. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Researchers interested in the effects o f language-in-general on human </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">thought have therefore turned to subjects such as very young, prelin- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guistic infants, or deaf children who are raised in normal circum­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">stances but who have been deprived o f early exposure to language </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">because they have hearing parents who do not use sign language. In </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the case o f infants, as noted in chapter 3, the language socialization </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">process begins from day one (if not before), so it is impossible to study </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a truly “prelinguistic” infant. [...]</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">It does begin before, </span><span style="color: #000000;">at least, so claims this TED talk I saw a while back. <a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/annie_murphy_paul_what_we_learn_before_we_re_born.html">www.ted.com/talks/annie_murphy_paul_what_we_learn_before_we_re_born.html</a></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Much research remains to be conducted before a definitive under­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">standing of the potential effects o f language-in-general on various </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">dimensions o f thought can be obtained. It may even turn out to be the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">case that there is no such general effect, since no one actually learns </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“language-in-general” but instead learns one (or more) particular lan­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guage. In this regard, additional research is needed to explore the timing </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">of theory o f mind development in children who speak languages other </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">than English. There are some studies o f Baka- and Japanese-speaking </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">children, among others, indicating that they are able to pass the stand­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ard false-belief tasks at the same age as English-speaking children, but </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other children, such as those who speak Junin Quechua, seem not to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">be able to pass the classic false-belief tasks until much later, perhaps </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">because o f the specific grammatical structures o f Junin Quechua or a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">very different cultural context (Villiers and Villiers 2003:372—373). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Many linguistic anthropologists question whether standard experi­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ments devised in the United States can be exported, either in their </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">original form or in “culturally appropriate” versions, to be used with </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">children (or even adults) from very different linguistic and cultural </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">backgrounds. At the very least, what little research there is o f this sort </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">must be closely scrutinized for cultural and linguistic bias.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Knowing that the japanese are similar to whites in intelligence, and not knowing the intelligence of the people speaking the mentioned language, this immediately gives one the idea that it might be an intelligence thing. The crucial test for that is whether false-belief tests correlate with intelligence.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Nothing useful on Wikipedia. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False-belief_task#False-belief_task">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False-belief_task#False-belief_task</a></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Did a brief search on GScholar, with terms: false-belief task, IQ. Result? IQ </span><span style="color: #000000;"><em>does</em></span><span style="color: #000000;"> predict better scores on false-belief tests. Cites:</span></p>
<ul>
<li>Hughes, Claire, et al. &#8220;Good test‐retest reliability for standard and advanced false‐belief tasks across a wide range of abilities.&#8221; <em>Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry</em> 41.4 (2000): 483-490.</li>
<li>Brüne, Martin. &#8220;Theory of mind and the role of IQ in chronic disorganized schizophrenia.&#8221; <em>Schizophrenia Research</em> 60.1 (2003): 57-64.</li>
<li>Happé, Francesca GE. &#8220;Wechsler IQ profile and theory of mind in autism: a research note.&#8221; <em>Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry</em> 35.8 (1994): 1461-1471.</li>
</ul>
<p>The group seems to be this one: <a href="http://www.ethnologue.com/language/QVN">www.ethnologue.com/language/QVN</a></p>
<p>Lynn lists Peru&#8217;s population IQ at 90. So, this explanation might fit. Or it might not. Difficult to say about some specific subgroup of that population. Presumably, the indegenious peoples have lower IQ due to lesser admixture of white genes.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Think o f all the taken-for-granted ways in which reading and writing </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">saturate our daily lives. Even if we put aside schooling, the most obvi­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ous realm in which literacy plays a central role, an average day in the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">life o f a person living in the United States or any number o f other </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">countries in the twenty-first century will most likely involve more </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">interactions with written texts than can be counted. “ [M]ost social </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">interactions in contemporary society,” David Barton and Mary </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Hamilton proclaim, “ are textually mediated” (Barton and Hamilton </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">2005:14). From cereal boxes, billboards, and newspapers to the inter­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">net and words written on clothing, many people engage more fre­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">quently with the written word than they realize. And even when </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">people are alone while reading and writing, they are engaged in social </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">activities because reading and writing are enacted and interpreted in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">culturally and socially specific ways. Moreover, these activities are also </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">bound up with social differences and inequalities. Patricia Baquedano- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Lopez writes: “Literacy is less a set o f acquired skills and more an </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">activity that affords the acquisition and negotiation o f new ways o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">thinking and acting in the world” (2004:246). And since the social </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">world is not composed o f neutral, power-free interactions, Janies Gee </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">notes that we should therefore not expect this to be true o f literacy </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">practices: “The traditional meaning of the word ‘literacy’— the ‘ability </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to read and write ’ — appears ‘innocent’ and ‘obvious.’ But, it is no such </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">thing. Literacy as ‘the ability to read and write ’ situates literacy in the</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">individual person, rather than in society. As such, it obscures the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">multiple ways in which literacy interrelates with the workings of </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">power” (Gee 2008:31).</span></p>
<p>Garbage like this is found consistently throughout the book.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Junigau women’s literacy practices did not just facilitate a shift away </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">from arranged marriage toward elopement, therefore, but also reflected </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and helped to shape the new ways in which villagers thought o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">themselves. Along with these changes, however, came some rein­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">forcement o f pre-existing norms, especially in the area o f gender rela­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tions. While it might seem to readers used to having the right to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">choose their own spouse that acquiring such a right would inevitably </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">improve someone’s life, in fact, the opposite was true for some Junigau</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">women who eloped after love-letter correspondences. In cases where </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">their husbands or in-laws turned out to be abusive, the women found </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">that they had no recourse and no support from their own parents. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">If they had encountered these kinds o f problems after an arranged </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">marriage, most could have returned to their parents’home or expected </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">their parents to intervene on their behalf. Such was not the case tor </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">most women who had eloped. Indeed, because most o f these women </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ended up moving into their husbands’ extended households as low- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">status daughters-in-law, their social positioning and daily lives were </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">virtually identical to those o f women whose marriages had been </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">arranged &#8211; except that they did not have the same recourse if things </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">went poorly In some respects, therefore, the women’s new literacy </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">practices created new and different opportunities and identities, but in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other respects, long-standing gender inequalities remained or were </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">even exacerbated.</span></p>
<p>Interesting, even if sad.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">An alternative source o f theoretical illumination for literacy </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">researchers, according to James Collins and Richard Blot (2003), is </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">French post-structuralist thought. Pierre Bourdieu,Michel de Certeau, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Jacques Derrida, and Michel Foucault all provide important analyses</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">o f the workings o f power in society in ways that are especially apt for </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">scholars interested in studying reading and writing. Drawing on these </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">theorists, Collins and Blot attempt to provide something they argue </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">has been lacking in NLS: “ an account o f power-in-literacy which </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">captures the intricate ways in which power, knowledge, and forms o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">subjectivity are interconnected with ‘uses o f literacy’ in modern </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">national, colonial, and postcolonial settings” (2003:66). Lewis et al. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(2007) draw upon some o f these post-structuralist theorists as well as </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">others to create a “ critical sociocultural theory” by focusing on con­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cepts such as. “activity,’’“history” and “communities o f practice,” which </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">they claim help literacy scholars to incorporate a better understanding </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">o f identity, agency, and power into their research.</span></p>
<p>Oh no. Not more of this garbage.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The challenge o f identifying the many possible interpretations and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">emergent possibilities o f any given performance &#8211; or, indeed, any </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">social interaction — has been a central issue in some o f my own </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">research. In particular, I became intrigued by a specific woman’s festival </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in Nepal known asTij. From my first experiences o f the yearly festival </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in the early 1980s when I was a Peace Corps volunteer in the Nepali </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">village ot Junigau through my subsequent stints o f research there once</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">I became an anthropologist,Tij has always been o f interest.The festival </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">is based on Hindu rituals for married women that require them to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">pray for the long lives o f their husbands (and even pray that they die </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">before their husbands). The rituals also require women to atone for </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">having possibly caused men to become ritually polluted by touching </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">them while the women were menstruating or recovering from child­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">birth. In Junigau, however, the celebration ofTij goes far beyond these </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">rituals, extending weeks in advance and involving feasts for female </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">relatives and many formal and informal songfests at which women </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sing, men play the drums, and both women and men dance, some­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">times even together.</span></p>
<p>wtf</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Mehl and his colleagues conducted a study of almost 400 college </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">students &#8211; the study mentioned at the outset o f this chapter &#8211; in order </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to measure gender differences in the average number o f words spoken </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">over the course o f the research subjects’ waking hours (Mehl et al. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">2007).The college students (divided roughly equally between women </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and men) were rigged up with digital recorders that were programmed </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to record for 30 seconds every 12.5 minutes. The students could not </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tell when they were being recorded. The researchers then transcribed </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">all the words spoken by the participants and extrapolated from these </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">figures to estimate the total number o f words spoken over the course </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">o f an average day for these individuals. The findings showed that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">female college students spoke an average o f 16,215 words per day, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">while men spoke an average o f 15,669 words per day &#8211; but this dif­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ference was not statistically significant. “Thus,” write Mehl and his </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">co-authors, “the data fail to reveal a reliable sex difference in daily </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">word use. Women and men both use on average about 16,000 words </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">per day, with very large individual differences around this mean . .. We </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">therefore conclude, on the basis o f available empirical evidence, that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the widespread and highly publicized stereotype about female talka­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tiveness is unfounded” (Mehl et al. 2007:82).</span></p>
<p>In the source referenced to just prior to this <em>Language Log</em> is mentioned a study about the talkativeness of the sexes, which found that females used 45% more words.</p>
<p><a href="http://itre.cis.upenn.edu/~myl/languagelog/archives/003420.html">itre.cis.upenn.edu/~myl/languagelog/archives/003420.html</a></p>
<p>I tried to find some more recent studies on Google Scholar, but didn&#8217;t find anything useful. Wrong key words?</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">It the realities o f language and gender are really so complex and varied, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">however, why are the language ideologies concerning female talka­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tiveness or male verbal competitiveness that can be found in the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">vignettes presented by Tannen (1990) and others so recognizable </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to us? Cameron (2007b) explains that it happens because o f the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tendency o f all people to rely at least in part on stereotyping when </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">processing information. It is not just ignorant or prejudiced people </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">who stereotype, Cameron states, but everyone because stereotyping </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">provides us with convenient shortcuts in determining what people </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">are like and how we should treat them.The downside, however, is that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">such stereotypes “can reinforce unjust prejudices, and make us prone </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to seeing only what we expect or want to see” (Cameron 2007b: 14). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">When we see someone who fits our preconceptions &#8211; say, a woman </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">who is extremely talkative, for example &#8211; we easily “supply the cultural </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">script that makes them meaningful a n d ‘typical’” (Cameron 1997:48). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">When we encounter someone who does not fit a particular stereo­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">type, however, we tend either not to notice or to explain the case </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">away as an aberration.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Why should we care i f one or more o f our gendered language </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ideologies might be inaccurate or at least overly simplistic? There are </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">many real-world implications o f inaccurate language ideologies — in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the workplace, in family life, in court cases, and in interpersonal </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">relationships. Women, men, and children all suffer when gendered </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">assumptions regarding communicative styles and identities are inac­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">curate or overly rigid. What the research described in this chapter </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">clearly demonstrates is that complexity and variability best character­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ize the relationship o f language to gender. We will come to a similar </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">conclusion in the next chapter after exploring the ways in which </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">language relates to race and ethnicity.</span></p>
<p>They are also useful in remembering base rates and making correct judgments. Cf. Jussim, Lee, et al. &#8220;10 The Unbearable Accuracy of Stereotypes.&#8221; <em>Handbook of prejudice, stereotyping, and discrimination</em> (2009): 199.</p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Todd_D._Nelson_Handbook_of_Prejudice_StereotypiBookos.org_.pdf">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Todd_D._Nelson_Handbook_of_Prejudice_StereotypiBookos.org_.pdf</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Defining Race and Ethnicity</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Many misconceptions surround the concept of race. Jane Hill, a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">well-known linguistic anthropologist and the former President o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the American Anthropological Association, maintains that most </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">white Americans share a largely inaccurate “ folk th eo ry ” ot race and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">racism, one o f the main components o f which is a belief in “race” as </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a basic category o f human biological variation, combined with a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">belief that each human being can be assigned to a race, or some­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">times to a mixture o f races (Hill 2008:6—7). Hill argues that this folk </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">theory is widespread and taken for granted &#8211; but mistaken in most </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">respects, according to the vast majority o f anthropologists and other </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">social scientists. Indeed, the official statement on race o f the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">American Anthropological Association begins with these two </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">paragraphs:1</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In the United States both scholars and the general public have been </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">conditioned to viewing human races as natural and separate divisions </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">within the human species based on visible physical differences. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">With the vast expansion of scientific knowledge in this century, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">however, it has become clear that human populations are not unam­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">biguous, clearly demarcated, biologically distinct groups. Evidence </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">from the analysis of genetics (e.g., DNA) indicates that most physical </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">variation, about 94%, lies within so-called racial groups. Conventional </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">geographic “racial” groupings differ from one another only in about </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">6% of their genes. This means that there is greater variation within </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“racial” groups than between them. In neighboring populations </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">there is much overlapping of genes and their phenotypic (physical) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">expressions.Throughout history whenever different groups have come </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">into contact, they have interbred. The continued sharing of genetic </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">materials has maintained all of humankind as a single species.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Physical variations in any given trait tend to occur gradually rather </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">than abruptly over geographic areas. And because physical traits are </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">inherited independently of one another, knowing the range of one </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">trait does not predict the presence of others. For example, skin color </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">varies largely from light in the temperate areas in the north to dark in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the tropical areas in the south; its intensity is not related to nose shape </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">or hair texture. Dark skin may be associated with frizzy or kinky hair </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">or curly or wavy or straight hair, all of which are found among different </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">indigenous peoples in tropical regions. These facts render any attempt </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to establish lines of division among biological populations both </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">arbitrary and subjective.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">As definitive as the AAA’s statement is about the lack o f a consistent </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">biological basis for the concept o f race, it should not be read as argu­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ing that race does not exist. Race is clearly an important social cate­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">gory that influences people’s life trajectories and identities. Many </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">scholars in fact view it as a, or even the, central organizing principle </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in the United States. But the social fact o f race does not support the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">folk theory described by Hill above.2 Reflect for a moment upon </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the following paradox: because o f the so-called “one-drop rule,” a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">white woman in the United States can give birth to a black child, but </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a black woman cannot give birth to white child. Such reflection </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">should lead to an appreciation for the social foundations o f the con­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cept o f race (Ignatiev 1995:1).</span></p>
<p>This one was bound to happen. The usual socialconstructivism.</p>
<p>I refer to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_Genetic_Diversity:_Lewontin%27s_Fallacy">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_Genetic_Diversity:_Lewontin%27s_Fallacy</a></p>
<p>Edwards, Anthony WF. &#8220;Human genetic diversity: Lewontin&#8217;s fallacy.&#8221; <em>BioEssays</em> 25.8 (2003): 798-801.</p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/A.W.F.-Edwards-Human-genetic-diversity-Lewontin’s-fallacy.pdf">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/A.W.F.-Edwards-Human-genetic-diversity-Lewontin’s-fallacy.pdf </a></p>
<p>As usual, these socialconstructivists attack strawman accounts of race. Who believes in an essentialist, clearly separate account of human races? No one. It&#8217;s biology, clear bounderies are a rarefind. :)</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">At one point in the history o f the United States, for example, many </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">groups now unquestioningly considered “w h i te ” were initially not </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">included in this privileged category.3 Benjamin Franklin, for example, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">wrote in the eighteenth century that Swedes and Germans were </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“swarthy,” and he did not include them among the “white people,” </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">who consisted, according to Franklin, solely o f the English and the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Saxons. “This example,” Jane Hill comments, “shows how what seem </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to us today like fundamental perceptions may be o f very recent his­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">torical origin . .. Contemporary White Americans can no longer see </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">‘swarthiness’ among Swedes, and find it astonishing that anyone ever </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">did so” (Hill 2008:14).</span></p>
<p>Never heard of this one. But it seems true. <a href="http://www.dialoginternational.com/dialog_international/2008/02/ben-franklin-on.html">www.dialoginternational.com/dialog_international/2008/02/ben-franklin-on.html</a></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">24. Which leads me to add one Remark: That the Number of purely   white People in the World is proportionably very small. All </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Africa</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> is   black or tawny. </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Asia</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> chiefly tawny. </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">America</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> (exclusive of the new   Comers) wholly so. </span><span style="color: #800000;">And in </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Europe</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, the </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Spaniards</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, Italians,   </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">French</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Russians</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> and </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Swedes</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, are generally of what we call   a swarthy Complexion; as are the </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Germans</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> also, the </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Saxons</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> only   excepted, who with the </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">English</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, make the principal Body of White People   on the Face of the Earth.</span><span style="color: #800000;"> I could wish their Numbers were increased. And while   we are, as I may call it, </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Scouring</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> our Planet, by clearing   </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">America</span></em><span style="color: #800000;"> of Woods, and so making this Side of our Globe reflect a   brighter Light to the Eyes of Inhabitants in Mars or </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Venus</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, why should   we in the Sight of Superior Beings, darken its People? why increase the Sons of   </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">Africa</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, by Planting them in </span><em><span style="color: #800000;">America</span></em><span style="color: #800000;">, where we have so fair an   Opportunity, by excluding all Blacks and Tawneys, of increasing the lovely   White and Red? But perhaps I am partial to the Complexion of my Country, for   such Kind of Partiality is natural to Mankind.</span></p>
<p>Good old racism. In reality the Swedes are very white, and the British are partly Swedes due to Viking settlements&#8230; <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viking_Age#England">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viking_Age#England</a></p>
<p>Gene tests can surely confirm this, if they haven&#8217;t already done so.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The parameters and nuances o f racial classifications in countries </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other than the United States have been studied by anthropologists and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other social scientists for many years. In Brazil, for example, scholarly </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">debates have focused on the meanings o f multiple Brazilian racial </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">categories that intersect in complicated ways with class, gender, and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sexuality.4 In Nepal, the country I know best ethnographically, there </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">is nothing like the black—white binary commonly attributed to the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">United States, and until recently, the concept o f “race” was not men­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tioned in public debates at all. Instead, caste, ethnicity, and religion </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">have been the most salient forms o f social differentiation for Nepalis. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">During the 1990s, however, a group o f activists from various Tibeto- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Burman ethnic groups drew upon outdated social science research </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">from the last century to posit three main races in the world (Hangen </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">2005, 2009). Susan Hangen, an anthropologist who has conducted </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">fieldwork on this topic in Nepal, reports that a politician in eastern </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Nepal stated the following during one o f his speeches in 1997:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">We are a M on go l community, we are n o t a caste either; we are Mongol .</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">For example, in this world there are three types o f people. O n e is</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">w h i te w i th w h i te skin like Americans, for example like sister here</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">[referring to me] . . . T h e o th e r has black skin and is called N e g ro .T h e </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">o th e r is called the red race like us: sh ort like us; stocky like us; with </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">small eyes and flat noses like us. (2005:49)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">L5y invoking this outdated tripartite racial classification, the politician </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">was attempting to unite a number o f linguistically and culturally </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">diverse ethnic groups, such as Rais, Magars, Limbus, Gurungs, and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Sherpas, under the umbrella o f one political party, the Mongol </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">National Organization (MNO). The hope was that unifying these </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">disparate but similarly disadvantaged groups would help them oppose </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Nepal’s high-caste Hindu ruling groups. One person told Hangen, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“We didn’t know that we were Mongols until the M N O came here” </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(2005:49). Hangen’s research is a fascinating example o f the com­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">plexities, contradictions, and cross-cultural differences involved in the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">concept ot race.</span></p>
<p>Actually those three are the three superclusters found using modern methods and not a all wrong. They are however less informative than are the lesser clusters, say, the 10 clusters identified by Sforza (1994). Depending on how much data one has, and how much detail one wants, one can find a larger number of clusters, aka. races.</p>
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_genetic_clustering">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_genetic_clustering</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Bonnie Urciuoli approaches the process o f ethnicization differently </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in her research on Puerto Ricans in New York City, contrasting </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ethnicization with racialization and situating both within the context </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">of class and gender identities in the United States. According to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Urciuoli (1996), racial discourses “frame group origin in natural </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">terms.” Ethnic discourses, in contrast, “frame group origin in cultural </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">terms” (1996:15). Racialized people, Urciuoli writes, are considered </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">out of place; they are dirty, dangerous, and unwilling or unable to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">participate constructively in the nation-state. In contrast, the cultural </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">differences said to be characteristic o f ethnicized people are consid­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ered safe, ordered, and “ a contribution to the nation-state offered by </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">striving immigrants making their way up the ladder o f class mobility” </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(1996:16). Within this landscape o f social inequality and exclusion, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Urciuoli states that language differences are often racialized.That is, an </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">inability to speak English, or an inability to speak English “without an </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">accent” (cf. Lippi-Green 1997), marks someone as disorderly and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">unlikely to experience social mobility &#8211; as someone, in other words, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">who does not fully belong in the United States.</span></p>
<p>But the asians are doing just fine and speak with an accent. Likewise with other high IQ immigrants.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Some people argue that using two negatives is “illogical&#8221; because </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">two negatives is a positive according to formal logic or mathematical </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">principles. But if this were so, then the use o f three negatives, as in the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sentence, “ I can’t get n o th in ’ from nobody,” would go back to being </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a negative and would no longer “violate” these principles. Clearly, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">this sentence would be as objectionable as ones with only two nega­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tives to the prescriptivists who want to impose the grammatical rules </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">o f one dialect o f English (the standard one) on all other dialects. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">While there may be many good reasons for preferring standard </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">English over other dialects o f English in certain instances, neverthe­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">less, as Labov (1972a) famously demonstrated decades ago in his </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">classic article, “The Logic o f Nonstandard English,” logic and gram- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">maticality are not among them. The preference o f one dialect over </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">another is one based on social, political, or economic factors &#8211; it </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cannot be based on linguistic factors because all dialects are equally </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">logical and grammatical.</span></p>
<p>Nonsense. Some languages are more logical than others. The obvious case being lojban which is directly translateable to predicate logic. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lojban">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lojban</a></p>
<p>In any case, the author seems to have no good understanding of formal logic, as she uses confusing simplistic terms. The sentence she uses as an example: I can’t get nothin’ from nobody.</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t get nothing from nobody.</p>
<p>I can get something from nobody.</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t get anything from anybody.</p>
<p>These are all equivalent in standard predicate logic.</p>
<p>¬(∃x)¬(∃y)¬CanGetFrom(I, x, y)</p>
<p>substitute ¬(∃x) for (∀x)¬</p>
<p>(∀x)¬¬(∃y)¬CanGetFrom(I, x, y)</p>
<p>Double negation elimination</p>
<p>(∀x)(∃y)¬CanGetFrom(I, x, y)</p>
<p>For any x, there is an y such that it is not the case that I can get x from y.</p>
<p>In other words, for every person, there is something I can&#8217;t get. I can&#8217;t get anything from anybody.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s using the internal negation interpretation. Using external negation, the situation is easier, and that is left for the reader as an exercise in logic. :)</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Turning to the second question about how or whether AAE should </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">be used in schools to facilitate the acquisition among AAE-speaking </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">students o f the standard dialect o f English, it is important to note the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">serious educational crisis that the Oakland Board o f Education was </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">trying to address (however ineffectively or controversially) in its </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">December 1996 resolution. As John Rickford (2005) reminds us, the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Oakland school district was not alone in experiencing extremely high </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">rates o f failure and drop-out among its African American population. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">O th e r school districts throughout the United States faced similar </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">disparities in school performance at the time &#8211; and still do today. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The question remains how to address these educational disparities. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Although this issue is far beyond the scope o f this book, involving as </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">it does complex issues o f poverty, racial discrimination, and residential </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">segregation, among other possible contributing factors, the extent to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">which speaking a nonstandard, stigmatized linguistic variant such as </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">AAE contributes to school problems deserves to be studied further </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(cf. Labov 2010; Rickford 2005).</span></p>
<p>It is called intelligence.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Aside from the obvious racist slurs, what constitutes racist language? </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Jane Hill (2008) argues that the language ideologies that are dominant </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in the United States, combined with a widespread American folk </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">theory o f race, combine to ensure that the everyday talk produced by </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">average white, middle-class Americans and distributed in respected </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">media “ continues to produce and reproduce Whi te racism” (2008:47). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Far from being an element o f the past. Hill maintains, racism “is a vital </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and formative presence in American lives, resulting in h ur t and pain </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to individuals, to glaring injustice, in the grossly unequal distribution </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">o f resources along racially stratified lines, and in strange and damaging </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">errors and omissions in public policy both domestic and foreign” </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(2008:47-48). And this racism, Hill suggests, is largely produced in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and through everyday talk &#8211; not through the obvious racist slurs that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">most people today condemn (though these o f course contribute), but </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">through unintentional, indirect uses ot language that reinforce racist </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">stereotypes.</span></p>
<p>Ah, the racism theory of blacks problems. Obviously doesn&#8217;t work due to the fact that blacks in African countries perform likewise badly. And they have done so for the last 100 years, so far back as we have data.</p>
<p>Cf. Jensen&#8217;s discussion in The g Factor. <a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/The-g-factor-the-science-of-mental-ability-Arthur-R.-Jensen.pdf">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/The-g-factor-the-science-of-mental-ability-Arthur-R.-Jensen.pdf</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In a similar set o f experiments, Rubin (1992) and Rubin and Smith </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(1990) conducted matched guise tests with undergraduates (Hill </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">2008:12). All their research participants heard the same four-minute </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tape-recorded lecture featuring a woman who was a native speaker ot </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">English, but half o f the students were shown a slide o f a white woman </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">while they listened to the lecture and were told that this was the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">speaker, while the other half were shown a slide o f an East Asian </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">woman. The students in the latter group tended to report that the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">speaker had a foreign accent, and they even did significantly worse on </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a comprehension quiz on the material in the lecture — even though </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">these students had heard exactly the same lecture as the students who </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">were shown the photo o f a white woman while they listened to the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">lecture! Clearly, racial categories and racialized language ideologies can </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">influence perceptions even without our being aware o f the process.</span></p>
<p>That sounds interesting. Inb4 small sample size and publication bias.</p>
<p>The cites are:</p>
<p>Rubin, D.L. (1992) Nonlanguage factors affecting undergraduates’ judgments of nonnative English-speaking teaching assistants. Research in Higher Education 33:51 1—53 I .</p>
<p>Rubin, D.L. and Smith, K.A. (1990) Effects of accent, ethnicity, and lecture</p>
<p>topic onundergraduates’ perceptions of non-native English-speaking teaching assistants. International Journal of Intercultural Relations 14:</p>
<p>337-353.</p>
<p>I looked into the newest one, from 1992. It had a sample size of 62 (with apparently, self-selection before that). And it reported non-significant results for the things the author of the book claims. Color me not impressed, although interesting study. The results did tend to go in the direction the author claims, but they had a huge variance.</p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Nonlanguage-factors-affecting-undergraduates’-judgments-of-nonnative-English-speaking-teaching-assistants..pdf">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Nonlanguage-factors-affecting-undergraduates’-judgments-of-nonnative-English-speaking-teaching-assistants..pdf</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">What are the problematic assumptions underlying the desire to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">count the number ot endangered languages, and the number o f speak­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ers each endangered language has? Jane Hill (2002:127-128; </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cf. Duchene and Heller 2007) names several. First, although she </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">acknowledges that numbers can be powerful “ calls to action” that have </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">been used to mobilize activists to reverse the trend toward language </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">death, and although Hill herselt has been involved in such efforts, she </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">warns that journalists and the mass media are soundbite oriented and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cannot or will not devote enough time or space to explaining the dif­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ficulties or subtleties involved in quantifying languages or speakers. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Second, Hill warns that numbers and statistics that are meant for one </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">kind of audience — speakers of dominant languages, perhaps, who have </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the power to do something about the extinction o f smaller languages </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">— can have very negative effects when heard by a very different kind o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">audience &#8211; the speakers o f endangered languages themselves. Hill </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">reminds her readers that numbers have often been used by colonial </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">powers in the past as one means o f control, what Foucault would call </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">governmentality through enumeration. Speakers o f endangered lan­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guages are often fearful, she warns, that numbers can be (and have been) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">held against them, and they can therefore become fearful or resentful.</span></p>
<p>wat</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">K. David Harrison, another linguist who works on endangered lan­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guages all over the world, lists three areas o f loss if we fail to safeguard </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and document languages at risk o f extinction: (1) the erosion o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the human knowledge base, especially local ecological knowledge; </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(2) the loss o f cultural heritage; and (3) failure to acquire a full under­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">standing o f human cognitive capacities (2007:15-19). With regard to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the first area o f loss, Harrison notes that an estimated 87 percent o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the world’s plants and animals have not yet been identified or studied </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">by modern scientists. If we are to hope that a cure to cancer or other </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">horrible diseases might be found in the Amazon, or in Papua New </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Guinea, or it we want to learn about more sustainable forms o f agri­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">culture from people who have been living in harmony in their envi­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ronments for many hundreds o f years, then we should recognize, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Harrison writes, that “most o f what humankind knows about the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">natural world lies completely outside o f science textbooks, libraries, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and databases, existing only in unwri tten languages in people’s </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">memories” — that is, mostly in unwri tten endangered languages </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(2007:15). O f course, some o f this knowledge can be communicated </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in a different language, assuming the person speaking the endangered </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">language is bilingual, but oftentimes there is a “massive disruption o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the transfer o f traditional knowledge across generations” when a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">group switches from an endangered language to a dominant language </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(2007:16). Particular languages are often especially rich in certain </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">areas o f the lexicon, such as reindeer herding, botany, or fishing, that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">are the most important to the speakers o f those languages, and a great </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">deal o f ecologically specific knowledge is encoded in that language </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">that goes along with those particular cultural practices. It is not sur­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">prising, then, that much o f that knowledge is not passed on when the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">language (and often the way o f life as well) dies.</span></p>
<p>I thought the point about loss of local knowledge was good. Although this is only relevant for useful local knowledge. Map knowledge, not useful. We have satelites. Properties of local plants. Might be very useful for medicine.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The third area o f loss Elarrison identifies is the ability to acquire a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">full understanding o f the capabilities o f the human mind. Linguists </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and cognitive scientists make assumptions about what the human </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">brain can and cannot do based on experiments and existing data. One </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">source o f such data is the group o f languages that have been studied </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">by linguists. Whenever a language is analyzed for the first time, schol­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ars look to see what patterns it shares grammatically with other lan­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guages in the world and which features it has that might be unique. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The more languages that die, the more likely it is that the conclusions </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">scholars draw about the limits o f human cognition might be mistaken. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">For example, the language o f Urarina, which is spoken by only 3,000 </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">people in the Amazon rainforest o f Peru, has a very unusual word </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">order for its sentences. Unlike English, which generally uses the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Subject -V e rb &#8211; Object (S-V-O) word order, as in sentences such as, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“The girl rode the bike,” Urarina uses the Object &#8211; Verb — Subject </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(O-V-S) word order, which would have a literal translation for this </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sentence as, “The bike rode the girl.” O-V-S word order is extremely </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">rare among the world’s languages. “Were it not for Urarina and a few </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other Amazonian languages,” Harrison writes, “scientists might not </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">even suspect it were possible. They would be free to hypothesize — </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">falsely &#8211; that O-V-S word order was cognitively impossible, that the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">human brain could not process i t” (2007:19).</span></p>
<p>Eh. It is obviously &#8216;cognitively possible&#8217; since we just understood an English example with OVS order&#8230; Another route is just to make construct a language to test it with. Similarly for other candidates for impossibility.</p>
<p>Still useful, sure, but not <em>that</em> useful.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">As a language is in the process o f dying out, it often undergoes </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">simplification in its grammar and lexicon. Speakers have fewer oppor­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tunities to use the language and so either forget or do not acquire a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">large vocabulary. Grammatical structures can also be lost or simplified. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">For example, in Dyirbal, an endangered Aboriginal language in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Australia, there used to be a four-part classification o f nouns. (See</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">chapter 4 for a discussion o f the four categories.) Nowadays, however, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">young people are less familiar with the ancestral myths and cultural </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">practices that motivated the four-part classification, and they are less </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">fluent in Dyirbal, having attended school mostly in English, and so </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">they have replaced the four-part system o f noun classification with a </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">two-part one. It is still different from English and retains some of the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">features o f the older system, hut it has become much simpler to use </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(Nettle and Romaine 2000:66-69).</span></p>
<p>Now, if only all other languages would get rid of noun classes/genders&#8230; :)</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>The chapter on language extinction is really lacking in content. They don&#8217;t discuss the overall cause of the huge diversity of languages to begin with, why there is a lot of diversity some places, and others not. And they fail to mention one very good reason, which is indeed the <em>primary reason to use a language at all</em>, to have fewer languages: it makes communcating easier! The cause of diversity of languages is 1) lack of long distance communcation between groups of people. Consider it a proces similar to genetic drift. Those places where there is lots of language diversity, are exactly the kind of backward places with no decent technology to facilitate long distance communication. When we use introduce it, they need to use a different language to talk with other people, and hence switch from their now not very useful language to one more useful. Nothing mysterious here.</p>
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_drift">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_drift</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Hegemony</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">One o f the most useful terms for our purposes in understanding how </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">power intersects with language is hegemony. According to Raymond </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Williams, a cultural Marxist who builds on the work o f Antonio </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Gramsci, hegemony refers to a dynamic system o f domination based </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">not so much on violence or the threat o f violence, or merely on the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">economic control o f the means o f production, but rather on political, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cultural, and institutional influence. “That is to say,” Williams writes, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“it is not limited to matters o f direct political control but seeks to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">describe a more general predominance which includes, as one o f its </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">key features, a particular way o f seeing the world and human nature</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and relationships” (1983:145). Having military power or economic </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">wealth can certainly lead to power, but social status and cultural dom­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">inance can also come from other sources, and hegemony is a term that </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">helps us understand this process. Hegemony is saturated with the spe­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cific forms o f inequality belonging to particular societies at particular </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">historical moments, according to Williams, and is “ . . . in the strongest </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sense a ‘culture’, but a culture which has also to be seen as the lived </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">dominance and subordination o f particular classes” (1977:110). </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Emphasizing the dynamic nature o f any “ lived hegemony,” Williams </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">reminds us that “it does not just passively exist as a form o f domi­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">nance. It has continually to be renewed, recreated, defended, and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">modified. It is also continually resisted, limited, altered, challenged by </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">pressures not all its own” (1977:112). In other words, Williams con­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">cludes, while any lived hegemony is always by definition dominant, it </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">is never total or exclusive (1977:113).</span></p>
<p>Oh boy here we go&#8230;</p>
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antonio_Gramsci">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antonio_Gramsci</a></p>
<p>Antonio Gramsci (<span style="font-size: small;">Italian: </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:IPA_for_Italian">[anˈtɔːnjo ˈɡramʃi]</a>; 22 January 1891 – 27 April 1937) was an <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italy">Italian</a> <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Writer">writer</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politician">politician</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_theorist">political theorist</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosopher">philosopher</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sociologist">sociologist</a>, and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linguistics">linguist</a>. He was a founding member and onetime leader of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communist_Party_of_Italy">Communist Party of Italy</a> and was imprisoned by <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benito_Mussolini">Benito Mussolini</a>&#8216;s <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fascist">Fascist</a> regime.</p>
<p>Gramsci was one of the most important <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marxist">Marxist</a> thinkers in the 20th century. His writings are heavily concerned with the analysis of culture and political leadership and he is notable as a highly original thinker within modern European thought. He is renowned for his concept of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_hegemony">cultural hegemony</a> as a means of maintaining the state in a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capitalism">capitalist</a> society.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In a contribution that ties in nicely with one o f this b o o k ’s key </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">concepts, that o f language ideologies, Bourdieu describes how differ­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ent levels o f symbolic capital can turn into symbolic dominance and even </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">symbolic violence. When individuals in a society are not proficient in </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the most highly valued ways o f speaking (such as English in the </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">United States, especially Standard American English), they do not </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">benefit from the access such proficiency often provides to prestigious </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">schools, professions, or social groups (cf. Lippi-Green 1997). And yet, </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">speakers o f stigmatized variants (for example, in the United States </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">these might include speakers o f nonstandard varieties o f English </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">such as African American English or Appalachian English) frequently </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">buy into the system o f evaluation that ranks Standard American </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">English as superior. These people’s own language ideologies, in other </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">words, stigmatize the ways in which they themselves speak. This </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">acceptance o f differing social values accorded various ways ot speak­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ing is in actuality a misrecognition, according to Bourdieu, because the</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">differential levels o f prestige constitute an arbitrary ranking. Every </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">language or dialect is as good linguistically, even though not socially, as </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">every other.</span></p>
<p>It just isn&#8217;t true. Languages differ in many relevant linguistic properties. Good luck discussing advanced physics in some amerindian language with no words for the relevant physics terms. This is even the case for a large language such as Danish. This is one of the reason we see what is called domain loss &#8211; a domain of life is spoken about in a different language because no suitable terms exist in the standard language. Cf. ex. <a href="http://sprogmuseet.dk/sprogpolitik/ingen-fare-for-domænetab-naturvidenskabelige-forskere-vil-altid-have-brug-for-dansk/">sprogmuseet.dk/sprogpolitik/ingen-fare-for-dom%C3%A6netab-naturvidenskabelige-forskere-vil-altid-have-brug-for-dansk/</a></p>
<p>And some are easier to learn than others, due to grammar or phonology (ex. English &lt;th&gt; sounds are difficult to learn).</p>
<p>And so on.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Why such a change in the understanding o f these languages? Irvine </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and Gal argue that the answer it was not so much because o f better </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">scholarship or improved data but instead because, “There have also </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">been changes in what observers expected to see and how they inter­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">preted what they saw” (2000:48). Nineteenth-century linguists and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ethnographers assumed that linguistic classifications could be used to </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">judge evolutionary rankings o f groups. (White Europeans were of </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">course at the top o f this ranking, and various African groups clustered </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">toward the bottom.) They also assumed that ethnic groups were </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">monolingual and that a “primordial relationship” existed that linked </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">languages with territories, nations, tribes, and peoples. In the case o f </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Fula, Wolof, and Sereer, racial and linguistic ideologies led nineteenth- </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">century linguists to consider the Fula language and its speakers (who </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">were often lighter skinned than the others and who tended to espouse </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a more orthodox Islam) to be o f higher status and intelligence. The </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Wolof language was deemed “less supple, less handy” than Fula, and its </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">speakers less intelligent. The Sereer language, nineteenth-century lin­</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">guists claimed, was “the language o f primitive simplicity” (Irvine and </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Gal 2000:55).</span></p>
<p>Never heard of them, but lightness of skin <em>does</em> correlate well with population intelligence world wide.</p>
<p>They might be smarter than their neighbours. At least, there is a list of prominent fula people. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fula_people#Notable_Fulani_people_by_country">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fula_people#Notable_Fulani_people_by_country</a></p>
<p>Googling “fule people intelligent” yields 13.1e6 results.</p>
<p>-</p>
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		<title>Review + comments: Analyzing Grammar, An Introduction (Paul R. Kroeger, 2005)</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3742</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Apr 2013 02:51:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Language]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Linguistics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Cambridge.University.Press.Analyzing.Grammar.An.Introduction.Jun.2005 free pdf download &#160; Overall, there is nothing much to say about this book. It covers most stuff. Neither particularly good, or interesting, or particularly bad or uninteresting, IMO. &#8211; Forexample, what is the meaning of the word hello? What information does it convey? It is a very difﬁcult word to deﬁne, but every [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Cambridge.University.Press_.Analyzing.Grammar.An_.Introduction.Jun_.2005.pdf">Cambridge.University.Press.Analyzing.Grammar.An.Introduction.Jun.2005</a> free pdf download</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Overall, there is nothing much to say about this book. It covers most stuff. Neither particularly good, or interesting, or particularly bad or uninteresting, IMO.</p>
<p>&#8211;</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Forexample, what is the meaning of the word hello? What information</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">does it convey? It is a very difﬁcult word to deﬁne, but every speaker of</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">English knows how to use it: for greeting an acquaintance, answering the</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">telephone, etc. We might say that hello conveys the information that the</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">speaker wishes to acknowledge the presence of, or initiate a conversation</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">with, the hearer. But it would be very strange to answer the phone or greet</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">your best friend by saying “I wish to acknowledge your presence” or “I</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">wish to initiate a conversation with you.”What is important about the word</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">hello is not its information content (if any) but its use in social interaction.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In the Teochew language (a “dialect” of Chinese), there is no word for</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">‘hello’. The normal way for one friend to greet another is to ask: “Have you</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">already eaten or not?” The expected reply is: “I have eaten,” even if this is</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">not in fact true.</span></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In our comparison of English with Teochew, we saw that both languages</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">employ a special formof sentence for expressing Yes–No questions. In fact,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">most, if not all, languages have a special sentence pattern which is used for</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">asking such questions. This shows that the linguistic form of an utterance</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">is often closely related to its meaning and its function. On the other hand,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">we noted that the grammatical features of a Yes–No question in English</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">are not the same as in Teochew. Different languages may use very different</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">grammatical devices to express the same basic concept. So understanding</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the meaning and function of an utterance will not tell us everything we need</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">to know about its form.</span></p>
<p>interesting for me becus of my work on a logic of questions and answers.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Both of the hypotheses we have reached so far about Lotuko words are</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">based on the assumption that themeaning of a sentence is composed in some</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">regular way from the meanings of the individual words. That is, we have</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">been assuming that sentence meanings are compositional.Of course,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">every language includes numerous expressions where this is not the case.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Idioms are one common example. The English phrase kick the bucket can</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">mean ‘die,’ even though none of the individual words has this meaning.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Nevertheless, the compositionality of meaning is an important aspect of the</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">structure of all human languages.</span></p>
<p>for more on compositionality see: <a href="http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/compositionality/">plato.stanford.edu/entries/compositionality/</a></p>
<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3233">emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3233</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">We have discussed three types of reasoning that can be used to</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">identify the meaningful elements of an utterance (whether parts of a word</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">or words in a sentence): minimal contrast, recurring partials, and pattern-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">matching. In practice, when working on a new body of data, we often use</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">all three at once, without stopping to think which method we use for which</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">element. Sometimes, however, it is important to be able to state explicitly</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the pattern of reasoning which we use to arrive at certain conclusions. For</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">example, suppose that one of our early hypotheses about the language is</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">contradicted by further data. We need to be able to go back and determine</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">what evidence that hypothesis was based on so that we can re-evaluate</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">that evidence in the light of additional information. This will help us to</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">decide whether the hypothesis can be modiﬁed to account for all the facts,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">orwhether it needs to be abandoned entirely.Grammatical analysis involves</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">an endless process of “guess and check” – forming hypotheses, testing them</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">against further data, andmodifying or abandoning those which do not work.</span></p>
<p>quite a lot of science works like that. conjecture and refutation, pretty much (Popper)</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">What do we mean when we say that a certain form, such as Zapotec ka–,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">is a “morpheme?” Charles Hockett (1958) gave a deﬁnition of this term</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">which is often quoted:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Morphemes are the smallest individually meaningful elements in the utter-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ances of a language.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">There are two crucial aspects of this deﬁnition. First, a morpheme is mean-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ingful.A morpheme normally involves a consistent association of phono-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">logical formwith some aspect ofmeaning, as seen in (7) where the form ˜ nee</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">was consistently associated with the concept ‘foot.’ However, this associ-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ation of form with meaning can be somewhat ﬂexible. We will see various</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ways in which the phonological shape of a morpheme may be altered to</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">some extent in particular environments, and there are some morphemes</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">whose meaning may depend partly on context.</span></p>
<p>obviously does not work for <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cranberry_morpheme">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cranberry_morpheme</a></p>
<p>what is the solution to this inconsistency in terminology?</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In point (c) above we noted that a word which contains no plural marker</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">is always singular. The chart in (17) shows that the plural preﬁx is optional,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and that when it is present it indicates plurality; but it doesn’t say anything</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">about the signiﬁcance of the lack of a preﬁx. One way to tidy up this loose</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">end is to assume that the grammar of the language includes a default</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">rule which says something like the following: “a countable noun which</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">contains no plural preﬁx is interpreted as being singular.”</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Another possible way to account for the same fact is to assume that sin-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">gular nouns carry an “invisible” (or null) preﬁx which indicates singular</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">number. That would mean that the number preﬁx is actually obligatory for</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">this class of noun. Under this approach, our chart would look something</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">like (18):</span></p>
<p>the default theory with <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markedness">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markedness</a> is more plausible than positing invisible morphemes.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>since the book contiues to use Malay as an ex. including the word &lt;orang&gt; i&#8217;m compelled to mention that it is not a coincidence that it is similar to &lt;orangutan&gt;. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#Etymology">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#Etymology</a></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The name &#8220;orangutan&#8221; (also written orang-utan, orang utan, orangutang, and ourang-outang) is derived from the </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malay_language">Malay</a><span style="color: #800000;"> and </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indonesian_language">Indonesian</a><span style="color: #800000;"> words </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>orang</em></span><span style="color: #800000;"> meaning &#8220;person&#8221; and </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>hutan</em></span><span style="color: #800000;"> meaning &#8220;forest&#8221;,</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-1">[1]</a><span style="color: #800000;"> thus &#8220;person of the forest&#8221;.</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-NG-2">[2]</a><span style="color: #800000;"><em>Orang Hutan</em></span><span style="color: #800000;"> was originally not used to refer to apes, but to forest-dwelling humans. The Malay words used to refer specifically to the ape is </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>maias</em></span><span style="color: #800000;"> and </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>mawas</em></span><span style="color: #800000;">, but it is unclear if those words refer to just orangutans, or to all apes in general. The first attestation of the word to name the Asian ape is in </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jacobus_Bontius">Jacobus Bontius</a><span style="color: #800000;">&#8216; 1631 </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>Historiae naturalis et medicae Indiae orientalis</em></span><span style="color: #800000;"> &#8211; he described that Malaysians had informed him the ape was able to talk, but preferred not to &#8220;lest he be compelled to labour&#8221;.</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-Dellios-3">[3]</a><span style="color: #800000;"> The word appeared in several German-language descriptions of Indonesian zoology in the 17th century. The likely origin of the word comes specifically from the </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banjar_language">Banjarese</a><span style="color: #800000;"> variety of Malay.</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-mahdi-4">[4]</a></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The word was first attested in English in 1691 in the form </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>orang-outang</em></span><span style="color: #800000;">, and variants with </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>-ng</em></span><span style="color: #800000;"> instead of </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>-n</em></span><span style="color: #800000;"> as in the Malay original are found in many languages. This spelling (and pronunciation) has remained in use in English up to the present, but has come to be regarded as </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linguistic_prescription">incorrect</a><span style="color: #800000;">.</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-5">[5]</a><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-6">[6]</a><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-7">[7]</a><span style="color: #800000;"> The loss of &#8220;h&#8221; in Utan and the shift from n to -ng has been taken to suggest that the term entered English through Portuguese.</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-mahdi-4">[4]</a><span style="color: #800000;"> In 1869, British naturalist </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_Russel_Wallace">Alfred Russel Wallace</a><span style="color: #800000;">, co-creator of modern </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolutionary_theory">evolutionary theory</a><span style="color: #800000;">, published his account of Malaysia&#8217;s wildlife: </span><span style="color: #800000;"><em>The Malay Archipelago: The Land of the Orang-Utan and the Bird of Paradise</em></span><span style="color: #800000;">.</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orangutan#cite_note-Dellios-3">[3]</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Traditional deﬁnitions for parts of speech are based on “notional”</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(i.e. semantic) properties such as the following:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(17) A noun is a word that names a person, place, or thing.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">A verb is a word that names an action or event.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">An adjective is a word that describes a state.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">However, these characterizations fail to identify nouns like destruction,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">theft, beauty, heaviness. They cannot distinguish between the verb love and</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the adjective fond (of),or between the noun fool and the adjective foolish.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Note that there is very little semantic difference between the two sentences</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in (18).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(18) They are fools.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">They are foolish.</span></p>
<p>it is easy to fix 17a to include abstractions. all his counter-examples are abstractions.</p>
<p>&lt;love&gt; is both a noun and a verb, but 17 definitions, which is right.</p>
<p>the 18 ex. seems weak too. what about the possibility of interpreting 18b as claiming that they are foolish. this does not mean that they are fools. it may be a temporary situation (drunk perhaps), or isolated to specific areas of reality (ex. religion).</p>
<p>not that i&#8217;m especially happy about semantic definitions, it&#8217;s just that the argumentation above is not convincing.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Third, the head is more likely to be obligatory than the modiﬁers or other</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">non-head elements. For example, all of the elements of the subject noun</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">phrase in (22a) can be omitted except the head word pigs.If this word is</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">deleted, as in (22e), the result is ungrammatical.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(22) a [The three little pigs] eat trufﬂes.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b [The three pigs] eat trufﬂes.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">c [The pigs] eat trufﬂes.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">d [Pigs] eat trufﬂes.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">e *[The three little] eat trufﬂes.</span></p>
<p>not so quick. if the context makes it clear that they are speaking about pigs, or children, or whatever, 22e is perfectly understandable, since context &#8216;fiils out&#8217; the missing information, grammatically speaking. but the author is right in that it is incomplete and without context to fill in, one would be forced to ask ”three little what?”. but still, that one will actually respond like this shows that the utterance was understood, at least in part.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Of course, English noun phrases do not always contain a head noun. In</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">certain contexts a previously mentioned head may be omitted because it is</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“understood,” as in (23a). This process is called ellipsis . Moreover, in</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">English, and in many other languages, adjectives can sometimes be used</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">without any head noun to name classes of people, as in (23b,c). But, aside</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">from a few fairly restricted patterns like these, heads of phrases in English</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tend to be obligatory.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(23) a [The third little pig] was smarter than [the second ].</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b [the good], [the bad] and [the ugly]</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">c [The rich] get richer and [the poor] get children.</span></p>
<p>i was going to write the author doesn&#8217;t seem to understand the word ”obligatory”, but it another interpretation dawned upon me. i think he means that under must conditions, one cannot leave out the noun in a noun phrase (NP), but sometimes one can. confusing wording.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">As we can already see from example (5), different predicates require</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">different numbers of arguments: hungry and snores require just one, loves</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and slapping require two. Some predicates may not require any arguments</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">at all. For example, in many languages comments about the weather (e.g. It</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">is raining,or It is dark,or It is hot) could be expressed by a single word, a</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">bare predicate with no arguments.</span></p>
<p>it is worth mentioning that there is a name for this: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dummy_pronoun">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dummy_pronoun</a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">It is important to remember that arguments can also be optional. For exam-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ple,many transitive verbs allowan optional beneﬁciary argument (18a), and</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">most transitive verbs of the agent–patient type allow an optional instrument</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">argument (18b). The crucial fact is that adjuncts are always optional. So</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the inference “if obligatory then argument” is valid; but the inference “if</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">optional then adjunct” is not.</span></p>
<p>strictly speaking, this is using the terminology incorrectly. conditionals are not inferences. the author should have written ex ”the inference “obligatory, therefore, argument” is valid.”, or alternatively ”the conditional “if obligatory, then argument” is true.”.</p>
<p>confusing inferences with conditionals leads to all kinds of confusions in logic.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Another way of specifying the transitivity of a verb is to ask, how many</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">term (subject or object) arguments does it take? The number of terms, or</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">direct arguments, is sometimes referred to as the valence of the verb.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Since most verbs can be said to have a subject, the valence of a verb is</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">normally one greater than the number of objects it takes: an intransitive</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">verb has a valence of one, a transitive verb has a valence of two, and a</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ditransitive verb has a valence of three.</span></p>
<p>the author is just talking about how many <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operand">operands</a> the expressed predicate has. there are also verbs which can express predicates with four operands. consider &lt;transfer&gt;. ex. ”Peter transfers 5USD from Mike to Jim.”. There Peter, subject, agent; 5USD, object, theme, a repicient, Jim, ?; Mike, antirecpient?, ?.</p>
<p>The distinctions between OBJ<sub>2</sub> and OBL make little to no sense to me.</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">It is important to notice that the valence of the verb (in this sense) is not</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the same as the number of arguments it takes. For example, the verb donate</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">takes three semantic arguments, as illustrated in (8).However, donate has70 Analyzing Grammar: An Introduction</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">avalence of two because it takes only two term arguments, SUBJ and</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">OBJ. With this predicate, the recipient is always expressed as an oblique</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">argument.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(8) a Michael Jackson donated his sunglasses to the National Museum.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b donate &lt; agent, theme, recipient &gt;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">|| |</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">subj obj obl</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Some linguists use the term “semantic valence” to refer to the number of</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">semantic arguments which a predicate takes, and “syntactic valence” to</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">specify the number of terms which a verb requires. In this book we will use</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the term “valence” primarily in the latter (syntactic) sense.</span></p>
<p>doens&#8217;t help.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">We have already seen that some verbs can be used in more than</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">one way. In chapter 4, for example, we saw that the verb give occurs in</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">two different clause patterns, as illustrated in (10).We can now see that</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">these two uses of the verb involve the same semantic roles but a different</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">assignment of Grammatical Relations, i.e. different subcategorization. This</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">difference is represented in (11). The lexical entry for give must allow for</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">both of these conﬁgurations.3</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(10) a John gave Mary his old radio.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b John gave his old radio to Mary.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(11) a give &lt; agent, theme, recipient &gt;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">|| |</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">subj obj2 obj</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b give &lt; agent, theme, recipient &gt;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">|| |</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">subj obj obl</span></p>
<p>it seems to me that there is something wholly wrong with a theory that treats 10a-b much different. those two sentences mean the same thing, and their structure is similar, and only one word makes the differnece. this word seems to just have the function of allowing for another order of the operands of the verb.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">A number of languages have grammatical processes which, in effect,</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“change” an oblique argument into an object. The result is a change in</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the valence of the verb. This can be illustrated by the sentences in (19).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In (19a), the beneﬁciary argument is expressed as an OBL, but in (19b)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">the beneﬁciary is expressed as an OBJ. So (19b) contains one more term</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">than (19a), and the valence of the verb has increased from two to three;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">but there is no change in the number of semantic arguments. Grammatical</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">operations which increase or decrease the valence of a verb are a topic of</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">great interest to syntacticians. We will discuss a few of these operations in</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">chapter 14.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(19) a John baked a cake for Mary.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b John baked Mary a cake.</span></p>
<p>IMO, these two have the exact same number of operands, both have 3. for word &lt;for&gt; allows for a different ordering, i.e., it is a syntax-modifier.</p>
<p>at least, that&#8217;s one reading. 19a seems to be a less clear case of my alternative theory. one reading of 19a is that Mary was tasked with baking a cake, but John baked it for her. another reading has the same meaning as 19b.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(20) a #The young sausage likes the white dog.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b #Mary sings a white cake.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">c #A small dog gives Mary to the young tree.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(21) a *John likes.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b *Mary gives the young boy.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">c *The girl yawns Mary.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The examples in (20) are grammatical but semantically ill-formed –</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">they don’tmake sense.4</span></p>
<p>the footnote is: <span style="color: #800000;">One reason for saying that examples like (20) and (22) are grammatical, even though</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">they sound so odd, is that it would often be possible to invent a context (e.g. in a fairy</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tale or a piece of science ﬁction) in which these sentences would be quite acceptable.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">This is not possible for ungrammatical sentences like those in (21).</span></p>
<p>i can think about several contexts where 21b makes sense. think of a situation where everybody is required to give something/someone to someone. after it is mentioned that several other people give this and that, 21b follows. in that context it makes sense just fine. however, it is because the repicient is implicit, since it is unnecessary (economic principle) to mention the recipient in every single sentence or clause.</p>
<p>21c is interpretable with if one considers ”the girl” an utterance, that Mary utters while yawning.</p>
<p>21a is almost common on Facebook. ”John likes this”, shortened to ”John likes”.</p>
<p>not that i think the author is wrong, i&#8217;m just being creative. :)</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The famous example in (23) was used by Chomsky (1957) to show how</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">a sentence can be grammatical without being meaningful. What makes this</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sentence so interesting is that it contains so many collocational clashes:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">something which is green cannot be colorless; ideas cannot be green,or</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">any other color, but we cannot call themcolorless either; ideas cannot sleep;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">sleeping is not the kind of thing one can do furiously; etc.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(23) #Colorless green ideas sleep furiously.</span></p>
<p>it is writings such as this that result in so much confusion. clear the different &lt;cannot&gt;&#8217;s in the above are not about the same kind of impossibility. let&#8217;s consider them:</p>
<p>&lt;something which is green cannot be colorless&gt; this is logical impossibility. these two predicates are logically incompatible, that is, they imply the lack of each other, that is, ∀xGreen(x)→¬Colorless(x). but actually this predicate has an internal negation. we can make it more explicit like this: ∀xGreen(x)→Colorful(x), and ∀xColorful(x)↔¬Colorless(x).</p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">&lt; ideas cannot be green,or any other color, but we cannot call themcolorless either; ideas cannot sleep;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">sleeping is not the kind of thing one can do furiously&gt; </span><span style="color: #000000;">this is semantic impossibility. it concerns the meaning of the sentence. there is no meaning, and hence nothing expressed that can be true or false. from that it follows that there is nothing that can be impossible, since impossibility implies falsity. hence, if there is something connected with that sentence that is impossible, it has to be something else.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">This kind of annotated tree diagramallows us to see at oncewhat iswrong</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">with the ungrammatical examples in (21) above: (21b) is incomplete, as</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">demonstrated in (34a), while (21c) is incoherent, as demonstrated in (34b).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">a better set of terms are perhaps &lt;undersaturated&gt; and &lt;oversaturated&gt;.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">there is nothing inconsistent about the second that isn&#8217;t also inconsitent in the first, and hence using that term is misleading. &lt;incomplete&gt; does capture an essential feature, which is that something is missing. the other ex. has something else too much. one could go for &lt;incomplete&gt; and &lt;overcomplete&gt; but it sounds odd. hence my choice of different terms.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The pro-formone can be used to refer to the head nounwhen it is followed</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">by an adjunct PP, as in (6a),but not when it is followed by a complement</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">PP as in (6b).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(6) a The [student] with short hair is dating the one with long hair.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b ∗The [student] of Chemistry was older than the one of Physics.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">6b seems fine to me.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">There is no ﬁxed limit on howmanymodiﬁers can appear in such a sequence.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">But in order to represent an arbitrarily long string of alternating adjectives</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">and intensiﬁers, it is necessary to treat each such pair as a single unit.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">The “star” notation used in (15) is one way of representing arbitrarily</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">long sequences of the same category. For any category X, the symbol “X∗”</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">stands for “a sequence of any number (zero or more) of Xs.” So the symbol</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">“AP∗” stands for “a sequence of zero or more APs.” It is easy to mod-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ify the rule in (12b) to account for examples like (14b); this analysis is</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">shown in (15b). Under the analysis in (12a),wewould need to write a more</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">complex rule something like (15a).3 Because simplicity tends to be favored</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">in grammatical systems, (12b) and (15b) provide a better analysis for this</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">construction.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(15) aNP → Det ((Adv) A)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">∗ N (PP)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">bNP → Det AP∗ N (PP)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">for those that are wondering where this use of asterisk comes from, it is from here: </span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regular_expression">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regular_expression</a></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">In English, a possessor phrase functions as a kind of determiner. We</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">can see this because possessor phrases do not normally occur together with</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">other determiners in the same NP:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(19) a the new motorcycle</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b Mary’s new motorcycle</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">c ∗Mary’s the new motorcycle</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">d ∗the Mary’s new motorcycle</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">looks more like it is because they are using proper nouns in their example. if one used a common noun, then it works just fine:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">19e: The dog&#8217;s new bone.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">Another kind of evidence comes fromthe fact that predicate complement</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">NPs cannot appear in certain constructions where direct objects can. For</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">example, an objectNP can become the subject of a passive sentence (44b) or</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">of certain adjectives (like hard, easy, etc.) which require a verbal or clausal</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">complement (44c).However, predicate complement NPs never occur in</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">these positions, as illustrated in (45).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(44) a Mary tickled an elephant.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b An elephant was tickled (by Mary).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">c An elephant is hard (for Mary) to tickle.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">(45) a Mary became an actress.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">b *An actress was become (by Mary).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">c *An actress is hard (for Mary) to become.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">45c is grammatical with the optional element in place: An actress is hard for Mary to become. Altho it is ofc archaic in syntax.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">mi amamas. ‘I am happy.’</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">yu amamas. ‘You (sg) are happy.’</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">em i amamas. ‘He/she is happy.’</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">yumi amamas. ‘We (incl.) are happy.’</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">mipela i amamas. ‘We (excl.) are happy.’</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">yupela i amamas. ‘You (pl) are happy.’</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">ol i amamas. ‘They are happy.’</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">it is difficult not to like this system, except for the arbitrary requirement of ”i” some places and not others. its clearly english-inspired. inclusive ”we” is interesting ”youme” :D</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">This constituent is normally labeled S&#8217;or </span><span style="color: #800000;">S</span><span style="color: #800000;"> (pronounced “S-bar”). It con-</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">tains two daughters: COMP (for “complementizer”) and S (the complement</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">clause itself). This structure is illustrated in the tree diagram in (15), which</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;">represents a sentence containing a ﬁnite clausal complement.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">how to make this fit perfectly with the other use of N-bar terminology. in the case of noun phrases, we have NP on top, then N&#8217; (with DET and adj) and then N at the bottom. it seems that we need to introduce some analogue to NP with S. the only level left is the entire sentence. SP sounds like a contradiction in terms or oxymoron though, ”sentence phrase”.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">-</span></p>
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		<title>Interesting reading on male adult male nonadult sexual interactions in a broad perspective</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3732</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3732#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Mar 2013 17:05:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Evolutionary Psychology]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Rind, Bruce, and Richard Yuill. &#8220;Hebephilia as Mental Disorder? A Historical, Cross-Cultural, Sociological, Cross-Species, Non-Clinical Empirical, and Evolutionary Review.&#8221; Archives of sexual behavior (2012): 1-33. Abstract Blanchardetal. (2009)demonstratedthathebephiliais a genuine sexual preference, but then proposed,without argument or evidence, that it should be designated as amental disorder in the DSM-5.Aseries ofLetters-to-the-Editor criticized this proposal as a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>Rind, Bruce, and Richard Yuill. &#8220;<a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Rind-Bruce-and-Richard-Yuill.-Hebephilia-as-Mental-Disorder-A-Historical-Cross-Cultural-Sociological-Cross-Species-Non-Clinical-Empirical-and-Evolutionary-Review.-Archives-of-sexual-behavior-2012-1.pdf">Hebephilia as Mental Disorder? A Historical, Cross-Cultural, Sociological, Cross-Species, Non-Clinical Empirical, and Evolutionary Review.</a>&#8221; <em>Archives of sexual behavior</em> (2012): 1-33.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;"></div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;"><strong>Abstract </strong></div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">Blanchardetal. (2009)demonstratedthathebephiliais<br />
a genuine sexual preference, but then proposed,without argument<br />
or evidence, that it should be designated as amental disorder in the<br />
DSM-5.Aseries ofLetters-to-the-Editor criticized this proposal as<br />
a non sequitur. Blanchard (2009), in rebuttal, reafﬁrmed his posi-<br />
tion, butwithout adequately addressing some central criticisms. In<br />
thisarticle,weexaminehebephilia-as-disorder infulldetail.Unlike<br />
Blanchardetal.,wediscussdeﬁnitionsofmentaldisorder,examine<br />
extensive evidence from a broad range of sources, and consider<br />
alternative (i.e.,non-pathological) explanations forhebephilia.We<br />
employedWakeﬁeld’s (1992b) harmful dysfunction approach to<br />
disorder, which holds that a condition only counts as a disorder<br />
when it is a failure of a naturally selectedmechanismto function as<br />
designed, which is harmful to the individual in the current envi-<br />
ronment. We also considered a harmful-for-others approach to<br />
disorder (Bru ¨lde, 2007). Examination of historical, cross-cultural,<br />
sociological, cross-species, non-clinical empirical, and evolution-<br />
ary evidence and perspectives indicated that hebephilic interest is<br />
an evolved capacity and hebephilic preference an expectable dis-<br />
tributional variant, both of whichwere adaptively neutral or func-<br />
tional, not dysfunctional, in earlier human environments. Hebe-<br />
philia’s conﬂict with modern society makes it an evolutionary<br />
mismatch,notagenuinedisorder.Thoughitshouldnotbeclassiﬁed<br />
as a disorder, it could be entered in theDSM’s5-code section, used<br />
for non-disordered conditions that create signiﬁcant problems in<br />
present-day society.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">
Keywords Hebephilia Mental disorder Harmful dysfunction  DSM-5</div>
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		<title>More on pedofilia, child abuse, adult+nonadult sex, etc.</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3728</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3728#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2013 18:22:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Psychiatry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3728</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oellerich, Thomas D. &#8220;Rind, Tromovitch, and Bauserman: Politically incorrect—scientifically correct.&#8221; Sexuality &#38; Culture 4.2 (2000): 67-81. The paper is spot on. Abstract The  response  to  the Rind,  Tromovitch,  and  Bauserman  (1998) study  was  surprising.  But  the  response  of  the American Psy- chological Association (APA) was,  to say the least, startling and distressing.  Rather  than  responding  [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="gs_cit0">Oellerich, Thomas D. &#8220;<a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/RIND-TROMOVITCH-AND-BAUSERMAN-POLITICALLY-INCORRECT-SCIENTIFICALLY-CORRECT.pdf">Rind, Tromovitch, and Bauserman: Politically incorrect—scientifically correct.</a>&#8221; <em>Sexuality &amp; Culture</em> 4.2 (2000): 67-81.</div>
<div></div>
<div>The paper is spot on.</div>
<div></div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;"><strong>Abstract</strong></div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">The  response  to  the Rind,  Tromovitch,  and  Bauserman  (1998)<br />
study  was  surprising.  But  the  response  of  the American Psy-<br />
chological Association (APA) was,  to say the least, startling and<br />
distressing.  Rather  than  responding  to  the  outcry provoked  by<br />
this  study with  a  discussion  of  the  right of and  importance  for<br />
scientists  to publish unpopular  findings,  the APA chose  to dis-<br />
tance  itself from  the study. This distancing  included  the  asser-<br />
tion that child sexual abuse  (CSA) causes serious harm and that<br />
&#8220;such activity should never be considered harmless&#8230;&#8221;  (Ameri-<br />
can Psychological Association,  1999; emphasis  in the original).<br />
Additionally, the statement ignored the recommendation of Rind<br />
et al. to differentiate abusive sexual behavior from the non-abu-<br />
sive.<br />
This  article  addresses  two  issues.  First,  it  asserts  that  the<br />
idea  that  adult/nonadult  sexual  behavior  &#8220;should  never  be<br />
considered  harmless&#8221;  is  not  based  on  the  evidence.  Second,  it<br />
supports  the  importance  of  differentiating  abusive  and<br />
nonabusive adult/nonadult  sexual behavior both in the research<br />
and  practice  arenas.  Additionally,  this  article  explains  why  a<br />
professional  organization,  such  as  the APA, would  distance  it-<br />
self from  the Rind  et al.  report.  Lastly,  it makes  recommenda-<br />
tions with respect to responding to the problem of adult/nonadult<br />
sexual  behavior.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;"></div>
<div>&#8211;</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;"><strong>Recommendations<br />
</strong>Rather than distancing  itself  from the Rind et al. study, the APA<br />
as well as the scientific and practice communities could have used<br />
the opportunity  to:</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">1.  Educate  the  community  about  the  myths  surrounding  the<br />
problem  of CSA. This  includes  laying to &#8216;rest the myth  that be-<br />
cause a  sexual activity violates a moral and/or a legal code  that<br />
it is thereby necessarily or even usually psychologically harm-<br />
ful.  In  other  words,  it  is  time,  as  suggested  by  Rind  and<br />
Tromovitch  (1997),  to stop equating wrongfulness with harmful-<br />
ness in sexual matters.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">
The perpetuation of this myth is unethical and has possible iatro-<br />
genic effects, as noted sometime ago by Schultz (1980). He wrote:<br />
We  seem  to  arbitrarily  create  &#8220;norms&#8221;  for minors  and  then  justify  depar-<br />
tures  from  them  as  traumatic.  Such  fabrication  is professionally unethical<br />
and  possibly  damaging  to minors  involved  in  sexual  behaviors  with  oth-<br />
ers. What  inappropriate  trauma  ideology  does  is  to  pit  the  professional<br />
(true  believer)  against  the  child  or  the  parents  who may  feel  differently.<br />
The  risk  is  that  a  type of self-fulfilling prophecy emerges  that manages  to<br />
produce  the problem it claims  to abhor, but which  it,  in  fact, must have in<br />
order  to  sustain  the  ideology  it  is based  upon.  (p.  40)<br />
An example of this &#8220;pitting&#8221; of the professional against the child<br />
was provided by Germaine Greer in  1975.  She wrote of the expe-<br />
rience of one of her school friends:</div>
<div style="padding-left: 60px;">
From  the  child&#8217;s  point  of view and  from  the  commonsense point  of view,<br />
there  is  an  enormous  difference  between  intercourse  with  a  willing  little<br />
girl  and  the  forcible  penetration  of  the  small  vagina  of  a  terrified  child.<br />
One woman  I know enjoyed  sex with her uncle  all  through  her childhood,<br />
and never realized that anything was unusual until she went away to school.<br />
What disturbed  her  then was  not what  her uncle  had  done  but  the  attitude<br />
of  her  teachers  and  the  school  psychiatrist.  They  assumed  that  she  must<br />
have been  traumatized  and disgusted  and  therefore  in need of very special<br />
help.  In  order  to  capitulate  to  their  expectation,  she  began  to  fake  symp-<br />
toms  she  did  not  feel,  until  at  length  she began  to  feel  truly guilty  for not<br />
having  felt  guilty.  She  ended  up  judging  herself  quite  harshly  for  this<br />
innate  lechery.  (cited  in  Schultz,  1980,  p.  39)</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">
2. Undertake  research  in  the  area of adult/nonadult  sexual be-<br />
havior that is shorn of the  ideological bias  that has contaminated<br />
much of the research  in this area. A beginning move in this direc-<br />
tion necessitates limiting the label &#8220;child sexual abuse&#8221; in the sci-<br />
entific  literature  to  those  instances where  the  sexual  behavior  is<br />
abusive. Abusive  sexual  activity can  be  defined  as  an unwanted</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">sexual experience  that may involve  coercion, threat, and/or demon-<br />
strable harm.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">
3. Stop automatically referring the sexually abused for therapy.<br />
CSA is not a psychiatric disorder or a syndrome (Finkelhor &amp; Ber-<br />
liner,  1995). Rather  it is  an event or series of events in a person&#8217;s<br />
life. Treatment is indicated only when there is a currently demon-<br />
strable harm. To treat the asymptomatic child/adolescent  is compa-<br />
rable to a physician treating child/adolescent  for bicycle accidents.<br />
Many who have a bicycle accident do not require treatment. When<br />
they do need treatment, it is for the clinical condition  rather than the<br />
event responsible  for  that  condition.  In  other words,  the  asymp-<br />
tomatic child or adolescent should not be treated.<br />
However,  even when  there  is  demonstrable  harm,  treatment<br />
should be recommended  only with caution since it may, as pointed<br />
out  by  Seligman,  only worsen  the  harm  by  interfering with  the<br />
natural healing process. According to Seligman,  the overreaction<br />
of parents  and police, and  early  therapeutic  intervention to undo<br />
&#8220;denial&#8221; and later  therapeutic intervention  to recover  the &#8220;repressed&#8221;<br />
memory and then reliving the experience, may do more harm than<br />
good.  Thus,  he  recommended  to  parents  whose  child  has  been<br />
abused or who were themselves abused that they &#8220;turn the volume<br />
down as  soon as possible&#8221; (p.  235).<br />
The excessive and unnecessary provision of CSA treatment also<br />
takes resources from other victims and other victim needs (Costin<br />
et al.,  1996). Lastly, and most importantly, it also makes the accu-<br />
rate evaluation of  treatment effectiveness  impossible since  the treat-<br />
ment pool  is  contaminated by  including  those who  do  not  need<br />
treatment in the first place.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 30px;">
4. Advise prospective clients of the risks of serious side-effects<br />
associated with therapy. They have  the right to know the probabili-<br />
ties of a successful outcome versus a non-successful outcome, i.e.,<br />
of getting worse and of not improving. Prospective clients have a<br />
right to know whether the  treatment they  are  to be exposed  to  is<br />
empirically validated, is still experimental or has been discredited<br />
by  sound research. With this  information, prospective clients can<br />
make an  informed decision as  to whether or not  to  subject them-<br />
selves or their children to the risks associated with therapy.</div>
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		<title>Comparing onanism with child sexual abuse</title>
		<link>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3725</link>
		<comments>http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3725#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2013 17:53:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Emil Kirkegaard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Psychiatry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=3725</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Onanism and child sexual abuse &#8211; A comparative study of two hypotheses Abstract For some decades now in the West, there has been a growing social anxiety with regard to a phenomenon which has become known as child sexual abuse (CSA). This anxiety is fed by scientiﬁc theories whose cornerstone is the assess- ment of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/Onanism-and-child-sexual-abuse-A-comparative-study-of-two-hypotheses.pdf">Onanism and child sexual abuse &#8211; A comparative study of two hypotheses</a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><strong>Abstract</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">For some decades now in the West, there has been<br />
a growing social anxiety with regard to a phenomenon which<br />
has become known as child sexual abuse (CSA). This anxiety<br />
is fed by scientiﬁc theories whose cornerstone is the assess-<br />
ment of these experiences as necessarily harmful, due to their<br />
presumed serious consequences for the present and future<br />
lives of the minors involved in them. This principle, widely<br />
held by experts and laypersons alike,was also part and parcel<br />
of the danger presumably posed by Onanism, a phenomenon<br />
which occupied a similar position in society and medical<br />
science in the West during the eighteenth through twentieth<br />
centuries. The present work is a comparative review of these<br />
two hypotheses and the central objective was to compare the<br />
evolution and fundamental elements of the two hypotheses<br />
in light of what history tells us about Onanism theory. This<br />
comparative analysiswill allow a critical look at the assump-<br />
tions of the CSA hypothesis in order to make evident the<br />
similarities to the conceptual model that enabled the Onan-<br />
ism hypothesis in the past.<br />
Keywords Child sexual abuse  Masturbation  Onanism</p>
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