{"id":3032,"date":"2014-03-20T15:13:07","date_gmt":"2014-03-20T14:13:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/?p=3032"},"modified":"2014-03-20T15:13:22","modified_gmt":"2014-03-20T14:13:22","slug":"indvandrere-og-rode-kommuner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/?p=3032","title":{"rendered":"Indvandrere og r\u00f8de kommuner"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fra 180grader<\/a><\/p>\n

Tankev\u00e6kkende….og plotter man MENAP andelen i forhold til stemmer p\u00e5 venstrefl\u00f8jen vil der sikkert tegne sig en interessant sammenh\u00e6ng.<\/p>\n

Jeg har snydt lidt og bare brugt alle indvandrere samt hvilken borgmester der blev valgt i 2013 til kommunalvalget.<\/p>\n

Data er her: https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/ccc?key=0AoYWmgpqFzdsdF9Nd01mbVktdm5Zczg5YmNEQ1VDd2c&usp=sheets_web#gid=0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
r (indv x r\u00f8d)<\/strong><\/td>\nN<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0.2462906703192<\/td>\n98<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
r (efter. x r\u00f8d)<\/strong><\/td>\nN<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0.268907054953298<\/td>\n98<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
r (indv+efter x r\u00f8d)<\/strong><\/td>\nN<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0.261067411142125<\/td>\n98<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Effekten skal divideres med .80 for at fjerne effekten af at have m\u00e5lt stemmer p\u00e5 venstrefl\u00f8jen som tvedelt variable i stedet for kontinuer (jf. Hunter og Schmidt, 2004<\/a>, s. 36).<\/p>\n

G\u00f8r man det f\u00e5r man ca. .325. En effekt som vistnok kaldes for middel<\/a>.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Man burde dog g\u00f8re begge:<\/p>\n

1. Bruge stemmer p\u00e5 venstrefl\u00f8jen (minus DF) i %<\/p>\n

2. Bruge andel indvandrere fra problematiske lande. Fx dem som er mere end 50% kriminelle end ‘etniske’ danskere.<\/p>\n

Dvs. disse:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Jordan<\/td>\n8.13092979127135<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kuwait<\/td>\n7.95349091107593<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tunesien<\/td>\n7.42190558208722<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Jugoslavien<\/td>\n6.59463054655251<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Libanon<\/td>\n6.57335666083479<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Pakistan<\/td>\n6.25107181757086<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Iran<\/td>\n6.19045842350073<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tyrkiet<\/td>\n6.08388263241959<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Marokko<\/td>\n5.70113628524406<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Egypten<\/td>\n5.56570220128809<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Algeriet<\/td>\n5.16331479104265<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Syrien<\/td>\n5.16031113640675<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Uganda<\/td>\n5.13959390862944<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Irak<\/td>\n4.9343915600306<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Israel<\/td>\n4.90585049436362<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Makedonien<\/td>\n4.87740497419052<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Serbien og Montenegro<\/td>\n4.87269534679544<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nigeria<\/td>\n4.71159029649596<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Jugoslavien, Forbundsrepublikken<\/td>\n4.69216550547419<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Somalia<\/td>\n4.66479776604564<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rum\u00e6nien<\/td>\n4.462441789836<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kroatien<\/td>\n4.42309840277002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tanzania<\/td>\n4.4186324991019<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Afghanistan<\/td>\n4.13729670972867<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ghana<\/td>\n4.06377167066169<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Bulgarien<\/td>\n3.97487273908805<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Chile<\/td>\n3.88355894335655<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Etiopien<\/td>\n3.73134328358209<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Data fra her: https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/ccc?key=0AoYWmgpqFzdsdHY0Q1BSTXNmOXk4MUVEendxUVV3Z2c&usp=drive_web#gid=0<\/p>\n

Danmark er 2.45, s\u00e5 2.45*1.5=3.675.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Mht h\u00f8jkriminelle lande:<\/p>\n

https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/ccc?key=0AoYWmgpqFzdsdDYxNTJVOGNDWVJkWUpCVkFVVVlPeVE&usp=sheets_web#gid=0<\/p>\n

Resultatet var det samme som f\u00f8r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fra 180grader Tankev\u00e6kkende….og plotter man MENAP andelen i forhold til stemmer p\u00e5 venstrefl\u00f8jen vil der sikkert tegne sig en interessant sammenh\u00e6ng. Jeg har snydt lidt og bare brugt alle indvandrere samt hvilken borgmester der blev valgt i 2013 til kommunalvalget. Data er her: https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/ccc?key=0AoYWmgpqFzdsdF9Nd01mbVktdm5Zczg5YmNEQ1VDd2c&usp=sheets_web#gid=0 r (indv x r\u00f8d) N 0.2462906703192 98 r (efter. x r\u00f8d) […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1711],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politik-videnskab-og-lign"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3032"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3032\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3035,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3032\/revisions\/3035"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}