{"id":3484,"date":"2021-06-26T23:39:30","date_gmt":"2021-06-26T22:39:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/?p=3484"},"modified":"2021-06-26T23:39:30","modified_gmt":"2021-06-26T22:39:30","slug":"hvor-meget-voksen-staten-over-tid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/?p=3484","title":{"rendered":"Hvor meget voksen staten over tid?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jeg l\u00e6ste forleden et indl\u00e6g af Christian Bj\u00f8rnskov p\u00e5 Punditokraterne om Schl\u00fcter-effekten<\/a>. Denne graf var i\u00f8jnefaldende:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Men 2007 er jo 14 \u00e5r siden, s\u00e5 findes der en nyere udgave? Grafen er fra DST’s 60 \u00e5r i tal – Danmark siden 2. verdenskrig<\/em><\/a> (2008). Heldigvis er der en nyere udgave, 65 \u00e5r i tal – Danmark siden 2. verdenskrig<\/em><\/a> (2014). Her finder man den nyere udgave:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Men igen, dataene stopper i 2012. Der burde jo i s\u00e5 fald v\u00e6re en version fra omkring 2019 med titlen 70 \u00e5r i tal<\/em>, men nej. Jeg skrev derfor til DST for at sp\u00f8rge. Svaret var langt!<\/p>\n

Michael Osterwald-Lenum <MOL@dst.dk> Thu, Jun 24, 2021 at 9:51 PM
\nTo: “Emil O. W. Kirkegaard” <the.dfx@gmail.com>
\nCc: Marianne Mackie <MMA@dst.dk><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

K\u00e6re Emil,<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Publikationen udkom i april 2014.<\/p>\n

I efter\u00e5ret 2014 blev Danmarks\u00a0 nationalregnskab hovedrevideret, s\u00e5 det kom til at f\u00f8lge den nu g\u00e6ldende internationale nationalregnskabs vejledning: System of National Accounts 2008 fra FN.<\/p>\n

Det bet\u00f8d \u00e6ndrede definitioner og opg\u00f8relser af flere centrale begreber.<\/p>\n

Det er derfor ikke ligetil at videref\u00f8re tabellen du er faldet over.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Hvis du sammenligner de nye definitioners udgaver af offentligt forbrug ud af BNP, med den fra figuren ser den s\u00e5ledes ud, som i de tre vedh\u00e6ftede figurer (i forskellige formater).<\/p>\n

Den gr\u00f8nne graf viser tallene efter det nuv\u00e6rende nationalregnskab, mens den r\u00f8de graf viser tallene efter det i sommeren 2014 g\u00e6ldende nationalregnskab.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00d8nsker du at g\u00e5 i dybden med denne overgang findes der f\u00f8lgende dokument at se n\u00e6rmere p\u00e5:<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.dst.dk\/ext\/9522264452\/0\/national\/Septemberversion-2013-(Hovedrevision)-(udgivet-15-9-2014)–pdf<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Har du yderligere sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5l er du velkommen til at henvende dig direkte til mig.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

mvh<\/p>\n

Michael<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Her f\u00f8lger andelene for hver af de to grafer:<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    a:co\/a:y\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 o:co\/o:y<\/p>\n

    1966\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1726\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1792<\/p>\n

    1967\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1796\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1864<\/p>\n

    1968\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1882\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1948<\/p>\n

    1969\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1912\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.1977<\/p>\n

    1970\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2031\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2096<\/p>\n

    1971\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2171\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2237<\/p>\n

    1972\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2183\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2243<\/p>\n

    1973\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2159\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2196<\/p>\n

    1974\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2362\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2365<\/p>\n

    1975\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2478\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a00.2460<\/p>\n

    1976\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2430\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2409<\/p>\n

    1977\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2424\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2380<\/p>\n

    1978\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2481\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2446<\/p>\n

    1979\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2547\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2491<\/p>\n

    1980\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2706\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2627<\/p>\n

    1981\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2795\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2727<\/p>\n

    1982\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2836\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2769<\/p>\n

    1983\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2763\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2698<\/p>\n

    1984\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2574\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2513<\/p>\n

    1985\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2534\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2459<\/p>\n

    1986\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2417\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2353<\/p>\n

    1987\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2534\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2430<\/p>\n

    1988\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2583\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2470<\/p>\n

    1989\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a00.2546\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2436<\/p>\n

    1990\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2512\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2391<\/p>\n

    1991\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2532\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2425<\/p>\n

    1992\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2526\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2416<\/p>\n

    1993\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2644\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2530<\/p>\n

    1994\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2552\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2440<\/p>\n

    1995\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2523\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2405<\/p>\n

    1996\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2540\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2411<\/p>\n

    1997\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2497\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2364<\/p>\n

    1998\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2562\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2413<\/p>\n

    1999\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2574\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2437<\/p>\n

    2000\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2512\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2387<\/p>\n

    2001\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2570\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a00.2432<\/p>\n

    2002\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2624\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2487<\/p>\n

    2003\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2650\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2504<\/p>\n

    2004\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2653\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2493<\/p>\n

    2005\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2605\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2450<\/p>\n

    2006\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2590\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2420<\/p>\n

    2007\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2595\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2434<\/p>\n

    2008\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2655\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2510<\/p>\n

    2009\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2979\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2793<\/p>\n

    2010\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2895\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2737<\/p>\n

    2011\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2836\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2656<\/p>\n

    2012\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2846\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2647<\/p>\n

    2013\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2822\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2601<\/p>\n

    2014\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 M\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2579<\/p>\n

    2015\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0M\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2547<\/p>\n

    2016\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 M\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2487<\/p>\n

    2017\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 M\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2441<\/p>\n

    2018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 M\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2428<\/p>\n

    2019\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 M\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2406<\/p>\n

    2020\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 M\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 0.2466<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    Med venlig hilsen<\/p>\n

    Michael Osterwald-Lenum<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Chefkonsulent<\/p>\n

    \u00d8konomiske Modeller<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

    Egentlig var min interesse i emnet om hvordan konservative altid taber og samfundet hele tiden g\u00e5r mod venstre. Richard Hanania skrev om det forleden<\/a>, og Ryan Smith p\u00e5 dansk for Kontrast<\/a>. Her er grafen igen, men jeg har indtegnet perioder med borgerlige regeringer<\/a>, defineret som Vestre eller Konservative, og uden Soc Dem:<\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

    OK, den faldt lidt i starten af Schl\u00fctter perioden, men ellers, borgerlige partier er essentielt fup n\u00e5r der kommer til st\u00f8rrelsen p\u00e5 staten.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Jeg l\u00e6ste forleden et indl\u00e6g af Christian Bj\u00f8rnskov p\u00e5 Punditokraterne om Schl\u00fcter-effekten. Denne graf var i\u00f8jnefaldende: Men 2007 er jo 14 \u00e5r siden, s\u00e5 findes der en nyere udgave? Grafen er fra DST’s 60 \u00e5r i tal – Danmark siden 2. verdenskrig (2008). Heldigvis er der en nyere udgave, 65 \u00e5r i tal – Danmark […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":3486,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1816],"tags":[1818,237,1817],"class_list":["post-3484","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-oekonomi","tag-bnp","tag-danmark","tag-offentlige-udgifter"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3484","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3484"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3484\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3488,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3484\/revisions\/3488"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3484"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3484"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/da\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3484"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}