{"id":3188,"date":"2012-08-12T01:52:51","date_gmt":"2012-08-12T00:52:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/?p=3188"},"modified":"2012-08-12T08:41:43","modified_gmt":"2012-08-12T07:41:43","slug":"quotes-and-thoughts-deliberative-democracy-and-political-ignorance-ilya-somin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/2012\/08\/quotes-and-thoughts-deliberative-democracy-and-political-ignorance-ilya-somin\/","title":{"rendered":"Quotes and thoughts: Deliberative Democracy and Political Ignorance (Ilya Somin)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Very interesting two papers by Somin! I will definitely check out <a href=\"http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/cf_dev\/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=333339\">his other stuff<\/a> when i have time. I just took the time off reading papers before i start reading book #2 on patents (<em>Against Intellectual Monopoly<\/em>).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Deliberative-Democracy-and-Political-Ignorance.pdf\">Deliberative Democracy and Political Ignorance<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">ABSTRACT: Advocates of \u2018\u2018deliberative democracy\u2019\u2019 want citizens to actively<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">participate in serious dialogue over political issues, not merely go to the polls every<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">few years. Unfortunately, these ideals don\u2019t take into account widespread political<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">ignorance and irrationality. Most voters neither attain the level of knowledge<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">needed to make deliberative democracy work, nor do they rationally evaluate the<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">political information they do possess. The vast size and complexity of modern<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">government make it unlikely that most citizens can ever reach the levels of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">knowledge and rationality required by deliberative democracy, even if they were<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">better informed than they are at present.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>How very depressing in relation to <a href=\"http:\/\/liquidfeedback.org\/\">liquid democracy\/feedback<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Deliberative democracy is one of the most influential ideas in modern<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">political thought. Advocates want citizens to actively participate in the<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">democratic process by seriously deliberating over important issues, not<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">merely voting for or against candidates put forward by political parties.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">They hope that voters will not only develop a solid factual understanding<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">of political issues, but will also debate the moral principles at stake in a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">rational and sophisticated fashion. Deliberative democrats expect more of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">voters than merely acting to \u2018\u2018throw the bums out\u2019\u2019 if things seem to be<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">going badly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">These high aspirations are admirable and appealing. Unfortunately,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">they run afoul of the reality of widespread voter ignorance and<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">irrationality. Moreover, even if voters were significantly better informed<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">and more rational than most are today, the vast size and complexity of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">modern government would prevent them from acquiring enough<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">knowledge and sophistication to deliberate over more than a small<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">fraction of the full range of issues currently decided by government. Such<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">difficulties become even more acute in light of the fact that many<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">deliberative democrats want the political process to control even more of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">society than is already the case. Previous scholarship has only tentatively<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">considered the implications of widespread voter ignorance and irration-<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">ality for deliberative democracy.1<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">This article is intended to close the gap<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">in the literature more fully. My analysis focuses on theories of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">deliberative democracy that require deliberation by ordinary citizens. I<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">do not consider the distinct question of deliberation by legislators or<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">expert administrators.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Parts IV#VI consider three proposals to increase political knowledge<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">that have been advanced by deliberative democrats. These include using<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">education to raise the level of political knowledge, increasing knowledge<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">by having voters engage in structured deliberation, and transferring<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">authority to lower levels of government where individual voters might<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">have stronger incentives to acquire information. Finally, I will briefly<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">suggest that deliberative ideals might be more effectively advanced by<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">limiting the role of government in society.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Deliberative democracy is a normative ideal, not an attempt to explain<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">present-day reality. However, an attractive normative ideal must be<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">feasible. The problem of political ignorance casts serious doubt on the<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">feasibility of deliberative democracy. Moreover, some proposals put<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">forward by deliberative democrats, if implemented, may well cause more<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">harm than good.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The second proposal was my idea as well. It better work, otherwise liquid feedback might be very bad indeed.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Decades of public opinion research show that most voters are very far<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">from meeting the knowledge prerequisites of deliberative democracy. To<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Somin \u2022 Political Ignorance &amp; Deliberative Democracy 257the contrary, they are often ignorant even of very basic political information.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">In 2009, the Obama administration and congressional Democrats put<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">forward ambitious plans to restructure the U.S. health-care system and<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">impose a \u2018\u2018cap and trade\u2019\u2019 system to restrict carbon emissions and combat<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">global warming. Both plans were widely discussed in the media and<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">elsewhere. Yet a September 2009 survey found that only 37 percent of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Americans claimed to \u2018\u2018understand\u2019\u2019 the health care plan, a figure that<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">likely overestimates the true level of understanding.7 A May 2009 poll<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">showed that only 24 percent of Americans realized that the important<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u2018\u2018cap and trade\u2019\u2019 proposal recently passed by the House of Representa-<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">tives as an effort to combat global warming addressed \u2018\u2018environmental<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">issues.\u2019\u2019 Some 46 percent believed that it was either a \u2018\u2018health-care<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">reform\u2019\u2019 or a \u2018\u2018regulatory reform for Wall Street.\u2019\u20198<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Until the Obama health-care reform passed in March 2010, the largest<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">new federal domestic program enacted in the previous 40 years had been<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">the Bush Administration\u2019s prescription-drug entitlement, enacted in<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">2003. Yet a December 2003 poll showed that almost 70 percent of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Americans did not even know that Congress had passed the law (Somin<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">2004c, 5#6).<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Public ignorance is not limited to information about specific policies.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">It also extends to knowledge of political parties, ideologies, and the basic<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">structure and institutions of government (Delli Carpini and Keeter 1996;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Somin 1998 and 2004c). For example, a majority of voters are ignorant<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">of such fundamentals of the U.S. political system as who has the power<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">to declare war, the respective functions of the three branches of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">government, and who controls monetary policy (Delli Carpini and<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Keeter 1996, 70#71). A 2006 Zogby poll found that only 42 percent of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Americans could even name the three branches of the federal<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">government (Somin 2010, ch. 2). Another 2006 survey revealed that<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">only 28 percent could name two or more of the five rights guaranteed by<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">the First Amendment to the Constitution (ibid.). A 2002 Columbia<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">University study found that 35 percent believed that Karl Marx\u2019s dictum<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u2018\u2018From each according to his ability to each according to his need\u2019\u2019 is<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">enshrined the Constitution; 34 percent said they did not know if it was,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">and only 31 percent correctly answered that it was not (Dorf 2002).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Similarly, years of survey data show that most of the public has little<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">understanding of the basic differences between liberalism and con-<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">servatism (RePass 2008; Somin 2010, ch. 2). They are often also<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">confused about the differences between the policy positions of the two<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">major parties (e.g., Somin 2004a).<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Widespread political ignorance has persisted over time, despite<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">massive increases in education and the availability of information through<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">new technologies such as the internet.9 It seems unlikely to diminish<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">substantially in the foreseeable future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Holy shit. Wud be very interesting to see cross-national data on some of these things. One cud use something like the <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Separation_of_powers\">separation of power<\/a> as a question. Even tho the countries differ in how they do that, most of them do it in some way, and it is thus possible to ask and see whether people know how their country does it.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">There is nothing inherently objectionable about people who acquire<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">political information for reasons other than becoming a better voter. It is<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">perfectly understandable if people wish to follow politics for any number<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">of reasons. Problems arise, however, when these motives conflict with<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">the goal of rational evaluation of information for the purpose of making<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">informed political decisions. To take one such case, people who acquire<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">information for the purpose of cheering on their political \u2018\u2018team\u2019\u2019 or<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">confirming their existing views are likely to overvalue information that<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">confirms those views and undervalue or ignore anything that cuts against<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">them. Extensive evidence suggests that this is in fact the way most<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">committed partisans evaluate political information.14 Experiments show<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">that political partisans not only reject new information casting doubt on<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">their beliefs, but sometimes actually respond by believing in them even<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">more fervently (Bullock 2006; Nyhan and Reifler 2009). Thus, a recent<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">study found that conservatives presented with evidence showing that<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">U.S. forces failed to find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq were<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">actually strengthened in their pre-existing view thatWMDs were present<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">(Nyhan and Reifler 2009, 11#15). Similarly, liberals confronted with<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">evidence that 2004 Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry had<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">incorrectly claimed that the Bush Administration had \u2018\u2018banned\u2019\u2019 stem-<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">cell research persisted in their pre-existing view that the charge was<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">accurate (ibid., 23#24). Similarly, most people discuss political issues only<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">with those who agree with them (Mutz 2006, 29#41). This tendency is<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">most pronounced among \u2018\u2018those most knowledgeable about and<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">interested in politics\u2019\u2019 (ibid., 37), which implies that those who seek<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">out political knowledge the most are not motivated primarily by truth-<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">seeking. If they were, it would make sense to sample a wide variety of<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">sources, possibly placing particular emphasis on those with viewpoints<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">opposed to one\u2019s own. The latter are more likely to expose the truth-<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">seeker to facts and analysis that he has not already considered. As John<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Stuart Mill ([1869] 1975, 35#51) famously emphasized in On Liberty, we<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">are more likely to discover the truth if we consider opposing viewpoints,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">not merely those that we already agree with.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Wow. Good thing im primarily a filosofer with truth as the goal, and not party politics. Impartial truth-seekers are perhaps the best politicians then? If so, then thats sad since they are the ones least likely to become politicians in todays system.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">In addition to processing information in ways that provide internal<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">psychological gratification, people also often try to express opinions that<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">conform to social expectations and seek to avoid negative reactions from<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">other members of the community (Kuran 1995; Sunstein 2003). For<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">example, people in a socially conservative community may hesitate to<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">express approval of gay marriage for fear of alienating antigay friends,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">family members, and neighbors. Those in politically liberal settings such<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">as university campuses often hesitate to criticize liberal policies such as<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">affirmative action (Kuran 1995, 310#25). Even in a relatively tolerant<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">liberal democratic society, dissenters often hesitate to openly endorse<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">unpopular views; they instead find it easier to pretend to agree with the<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">majority. Such \u2018\u2018preference falsification\u2019\u201916 can easily lead people to reject<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">powerful arguments against socially approved positions, or even to<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">refrain from voicing them in the first place.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Preference falsification can infect many kinds of political processes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">But it is an especially serious danger in a deliberative democracy, where<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">citizens have to engage in open dialogue on political issues and therefore<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">take positions (or refrain from doing so) in a setting where other<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">members of the community can observe them. Under \u2018\u2018aggregative\u2019\u2019<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">democracy, by contrast, voters usually make decisions and access<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">information in more private settings and therefore may face less pressure<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">to conform.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>To combat this problem, liquid feedback systems shud have anonymization in various ways. Perhaps by allowing users to go under many different names, but only allow them to vote once.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">IV. CAN EDUCATION SAVE DEMOCRACY?<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Is it possible not to love this guy? :D<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Very interesting two papers by Somin! I will definitely check out his other stuff when i have time. I just took the time off reading papers before i start reading book #2 on patents (Against Intellectual Monopoly). Deliberative Democracy and Political Ignorance &#8211; &nbsp; ABSTRACT: Advocates of \u2018\u2018deliberative democracy\u2019\u2019 want citizens to actively participate in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1879,1925,1861],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-education-politik","category-government-form","category-politics-philosophy","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3188"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3192,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188\/revisions\/3192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}