{"id":3555,"date":"2013-01-07T19:48:13","date_gmt":"2013-01-07T18:48:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/?p=3555"},"modified":"2013-01-07T19:48:13","modified_gmt":"2013-01-07T18:48:13","slug":"paper-worldwide-health-effects-of-the-fukushima-daiichi-nuclear-accident","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/2013\/01\/paper-worldwide-health-effects-of-the-fukushima-daiichi-nuclear-accident\/","title":{"rendered":"Paper: Worldwide health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Worldwide-health-effects-of-the-Fukushima-Daiichi-nuclear-accident.pdf\">Worldwide health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\">Abstract<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\">This study quanti\ufb01es worldwide health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident on 11March<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">2011. Effects are quanti\ufb01ed with a 3-D global atmospheric model driven by emission estimates and<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">evaluated against daily worldwide Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO)<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">measurements and observed deposition rates. Inhalation exposure, ground-level external exposure, and<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">atmospheric external exposure pathways of radioactive iodine-131, cesium-137, and cesium-134<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">released from Fukushima are accounted for using a linear no-threshold (LNT) model of human<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">exposure. Exposure due to ingestion of contaminated food and water is estimated by extrapolation.We<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">estimate an additional 130 (15\u20131100) cancer-related mortalities and 180 (24\u20131800) cancer-related<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">morbidities incorporating uncertainties associated with the exposure\u2013dose and dose\u2013response models<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">used in the study. We also discuss the LNT model\u2019s uncertainty at low doses. Sensitivities to emission<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">rates, gas to particulate I-131 partitioning, and the mandatory evacuation radius around the plant are<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">also explored, and may increase upper bound mortalities and morbidities in the ranges above to 1300<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">and 2500, respectively. Radiation exposure to workers at the plant is projected to result in 2 to 12<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">morbidities. An additional \u0001600 mortalities have been reported due to non-radiological causes such as<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">mandatory evacuations. Lastly, a hypothetical accident at the Diablo Canyon Power Plant in<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">California, USA with identical emissions to Fukushima was studied to analyze the in\ufb02uence of location<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">and seasonality on the impact of a nuclear accident. This hypothetical accident may cause \u000125% more<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">mortalities than Fukushima despite California having one fourth the local population density due to<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #993300;\">differing meteorological conditions.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Worldwide health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident Abstract This study quanti\ufb01es worldwide health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident on 11March 2011. Effects are quanti\ufb01ed with a 3-D global atmospheric model driven by emission estimates and evaluated against daily worldwide Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) measurements and observed deposition rates. Inhalation exposure, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[1919,1929],"class_list":["post-3555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-energy-politik","tag-nuclear-energy-science","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3555","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3555"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3555\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3557,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3555\/revisions\/3557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3555"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3555"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3555"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}