{"id":5942,"date":"2016-04-28T17:20:02","date_gmt":"2016-04-28T16:20:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/?p=5942"},"modified":"2016-04-28T17:20:02","modified_gmt":"2016-04-28T16:20:02","slug":"cognitive-dysgenics-in-the-okcupid-dataset-a-few-simple-analyses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/2016\/04\/cognitive-dysgenics-in-the-okcupid-dataset-a-few-simple-analyses\/","title":{"rendered":"Cognitive dysgenics in the OKCupid dataset: a few simple analyses"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>OKCupid dataset (not public right now, contact me if you want the password). Draft paper: https:\/\/osf.io\/p9ixw\/<\/p>\n<p>I looked at whether there was evidence for cognitive dysgenics in the OKCupid dataset. The unrepresentativeness of the dataset is not much of a problem here: indeed we are very much interested in younger people looking to date since these are the parents of the next generation and some are already parents of course.<\/p>\n<p>The cognitive test is made of an ad hoc collection of 14 items. It seems to work fairly well. The items were scored using item response theory.<\/p>\n<p>There are a couple of questions related to fertility, either desired or actual. The relationships to cognitive ability looks like this:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/q105.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5943\" src=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/q105-300x214.png\" alt=\"q105\" width=\"300\" height=\"214\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/q979.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5944\" src=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/q979-300x214.png\" alt=\"q979\" width=\"300\" height=\"214\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/q80041.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5945\" src=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/q80041-300x214.png\" alt=\"q80041\" width=\"300\" height=\"214\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>These are the raw relationships. One may wonder if they are confounded with, e.g. race or age. So one could try a multiple regression. Unfortunately, since the outcomes are ordinal data, standard multiple regression <a href=\"http:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/understanding_statistics\/?app=discretization\">results in a large downward bias<\/a>. Still, results look like this:<\/p>\n<pre>$coefs\r\n                        Beta   SE CI.lower CI.upper\r\nCA                     -0.07 0.01    -0.08    -0.06\r\nd_age                  -0.10 0.01    -0.11    -0.09\r\ngender: Other          -0.69 0.09    -0.86    -0.52\r\ngender: Woman           0.01 0.01    -0.02     0.03\r\nrace: Mixed             0.13 0.02     0.09     0.17\r\nrace: Asian             0.16 0.03     0.11     0.22\r\nrace: Hispanic \/ Latin  0.12 0.03     0.07     0.18\r\nrace: Black             0.29 0.03     0.23     0.34\r\nrace: Other             0.06 0.03    -0.01     0.12\r\nrace: Indian            0.07 0.06    -0.05     0.18\r\nrace: Middle Eastern    0.11 0.08    -0.06     0.27\r\nrace: Native American   0.21 0.12    -0.03     0.45\r\nrace: Pacific Islander  0.40 0.12     0.16     0.64\r\n\r\n$meta\r\n       N       R2  R2 adj. \r\n32537.00     0.03     0.03<\/pre>\n<p>The dependent variable was the question above about the number of desired children. Still, we see a small negative coefficient as expected. The size is similar to other studies. Since the cognitive measure was not optimal, it is probably somewhat larger.<\/p>\n<p>Analysis code is in the OSF repository in the <em>adhoc.R<\/em> file.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>OKCupid dataset (not public right now, contact me if you want the password). Draft paper: https:\/\/osf.io\/p9ixw\/ I looked at whether there was evidence for cognitive dysgenics in the OKCupid dataset. The unrepresentativeness of the dataset is not much of a problem here: indeed we are very much interested in younger people looking to date since [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1839,2591],"tags":[2339,1866],"class_list":["post-5942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-psychometics","category-intelligence-iq-cognitive-ability","tag-dysgenics","tag-okcupid","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5942","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5942"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5942\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5946,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5942\/revisions\/5946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5942"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5942"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emilkirkegaard.dk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5942"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}