Tech solution to tech totalitarianism

This has been suggested many times, but if you don’t want to read the 4000 words version that Moldbug has, here’s a 255 words TL;DR. What you want is a manager app: Why do you want this? Because content creators — which we may define as those 1% of users that drive traffic — don’t…

23andme’s updated algorithm: January 2021

Prior results: 2019 Personal genomics company 23andme has a new preprint out describing their current approach and results: Durand, E. Y., Do, C. B., Wilton, P. R., Mountain, J. L., Auton, A., Poznik, G. D., & Macpherson, J. M. (2021). A scalable pipeline for local ancestry inference using tens of thousands of reference haplotypes. BioRxiv,…

Scott Lilienfeld memorial site

See also 2015 post: Scott O. Lilienfeld is a great researcher Obituaries: NYT: Scott Lilienfeld, Psychologist Who Questioned Psychology, Dies at 59 Emory university: Scott Lilienfeld remembered for advancing psychology while embodying kindness Chris Martin at Heterodox Academy (where Scott was active): In Memoriam: Scott Lilienfeld I am happy to say that we have set…

Goals and forecasts for 2021

Last year’s post (2020) and scoring the predictions. These are goals and projections for my various productivity measures. These are all based on ignoring the tail risk of getting banned (which is now substantial across platforms). The method of doing projections is not difficult: gather some prior data, eyeball the data, project with simple models,…

Missing Arthur Jensen videos: money if you can find them!

We are always looking to expand our Arthur Jensen coverage (https://arthurjensen.net/). Recently, we got a tip that some video material exist somewhere that we don’t have. Specifically: While critical of most mass media coverage of the issue, Jensen has the highest praise for the presentations by some of the “quick studies” who have interviewed him—Joseph…

Scoring my 2020 predictions

I wanted to wait until all the US election stuff resolves, but seems like this will take a while for the last few questions, so let’s proceed for now. As mentioned in the Goals for 2020 post, I decided to get into forecasting because I found a funnier website than GJOpen: Metaculus: I also want…

2020 in books

2020 was a productive year in terms of book reading. I set a goal of 25 and I ended up at 54. I track my book reading at Goodreads, and here’s the 2020 page. Saving you the work, here’s the books with links and comments. Other stuff Read this just to get some background on…

Myers Briggs: results of 46 Twitter raters

Slightly odd topic for a Christmas Even post, but some time ago, I talked with some people about the Myers Briggs personality model. As a contrarian, I am of course interested in pushing against the mainstream view of my social circle (if reasonable). In wide culture, Myers Briggs is very popular, but among psychologists, it…

New paper out: National Intelligence Is More Important for Explaining Country Well-Being than Time Preference and Other Measured Non-Cognitive Traits

Kirkegaard, E. O. W., & Karlin, A. (2020). National Intelligence Is More Important for Explaining Country Well-Being than Time Preference and Other Measured Non-Cognitive Traits. Mankind Quarterly, 61(2). https://doi.org/10.46469/mq.2020.61.2.11 Patient people fare better in life than impatient people. Based on this and on economic models, many economists have claimed that more patient countries should fare…