People overestimate the size of every minority group
Lot of studies go like this: Now, you can quibble that they used poor estimates of immigrant% that only counted first generation, or those with only foreign citizenship, or in…
Herding, polls of polls and Bayes’ theorem
You have probably heard of that outlier Iowa poll that gave a surprisingly large advantage to Harris in the 2024 election. Related to this is that is what forecasters call…
Bayesian statistics for environmentalists
See also previously: Environmentalists like admixture analysis too (until they don’t) Let's talk a little Bayesian statistics and how it applies to model selection in the race and IQ debate.…
Workgroup: Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial Introduction with R and BUGS
I started a workgroup for going thru the Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial Introduction with R and BUGS book. See thread on forum.