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What really predicts fertility? A principled look at country time series data

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:12. April 2026
  • Post category:Demographics

We have an endless amount of articles trying to show that this or that variable is a plausible causal candidate, and hopefully something we can do something about practically speaking.…

Continue ReadingWhat really predicts fertility? A principled look at country time series data
Read more about the article Government family spending does not predict fertility rates, or does it

Government family spending does not predict fertility rates, or does it

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:18. October 2025
  • Post category:Demographics/Economics

Fertility rates are terrible in every good country except for Israel. Why is that? Well, maybe we just don't spend enough money on this. Maybe it is too expensive to…

Continue ReadingGovernment family spending does not predict fertility rates, or does it
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