What does money buy? Selected readings from lottery studies

In science, we are generally mostly interested in causal relationships because these are the ones that matter. Causality is generally defined in terms of counter-factuals: if things were such and such, or had been such and such, things would be such and such (instead). One can formalize this reasoning with the do-operator and related methods…

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China economy predictions: 1990-2020

There is a list that’s floating around (meaning: copy pasted without sources), and it’s also got no exact sources, so it’s unclear how legit it is. So I did some searching to confirm, and this blogpost can then be the new reference post. I noted that some of the titles were wrong, sometimes they change…

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Political bias in science: quotes from Gunnar Myrdal’s 1944 book

Gunnar Myrdal, who was Swedish, expresses an early version of the views the media repeat endlessly these days. To give some examples: White prejudice and discrimination keep the Negro low in standards of living, health, education, manners and morals. This, in its turn, gives support to white prejudice. White prejudice and Negro standards thus mutually…

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No Swedish refugee miracle: large negative net contributions of immigrants

Recently, I found a Swedish language report that discusses economic consequences of refugee immigration to Sweden. Ruist, Joakim. 2018:3 Tid för integration – en ESO-rapport om flyktingars bakgrund och arbetsmarknadsetablering. The report is published by “Expertgruppen för Studier i Offentlig ekonomi”, expert group for studies in public finances, which is a subunit under the ministry…

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Pay gap reports from Sweden

Sweden, the land of feminism, of course constantly demands the government produces reports that prove the sex gap in incomes is caused by evil eyes men. So, the bureaucrats attempt to oblige and produce a stream of reports, all of which result conclusions like these: Den statistiska analysen visar att den genomsnittliga löneskillnaden nästan helt…

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Ancestry effects in Brazil: economist approach with person names

I have written a lot about ancestry approaches, generally from a psychometric and genomic angle. However, economists can also play this game. Daniel A. F. Lopes, Geraldo A. Silva Filho, and Leonardo Monasterio. Culture, Institutions and School Achievement in Brazil This paper estimates the impact of culture on the academic performance of Brazilian students in…

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