So Le Pen didn’t wen
Back in April, I posted the results of my predictive model about Marine Le Pen's winning chances. The model produced a much higher chance of victory than most other people…
Book reviews: Apocalypse Never (Michael Shellenberger) and Unsettled (Steven E. Koonin)
So I've gone back to my old habit of binge reading on mostly unrelated topics to my main work in the genetics-social science cluster. Climate science is a long running…
Goals and forecasts for 2021
Last year's post (2020) and scoring the predictions. These are goals and projections for my various productivity measures. These are all based on ignoring the tail risk of getting banned…
Scoring my 2020 predictions
I wanted to wait until all the US election stuff resolves, but seems like this will take a while for the last few questions, so let's proceed for now. As…