People did not used to marry early in the good old times
If you look at a plot of age of first marriage and age of first birth (usually following marriage), you might get the idea that the 1960s cultural revolution, feminism…
Few people trust journalists
I was going to do a bunch of searchers to find polls of trust in different occupations by country. However, it turned out to be unnecessary because Ipsos has already…
Bayesian hereditarianism
In august 2023, Sean Last wrote an important post that didn't receive enough attention. His point was that model comparisons are not correctly (Bayesically) applied in the hereditarianism vs. egalitarianism…
Mount Everest is not cold (controlling for altitude and latitude)
Most researchers don't seem to think carefully about what they put in their regression models as statistical controls. By controlling for a variable, you attempt to hold that variable at…
Migrant crime in Germany, redux
This new study is making the rounds, also in the English speaking world (e.g. Reuters): Higher proportion of migrants does not mean more crime, German institute says BERLIN, Feb 18…
End stage global capitalism
Let's define global capitalism as market economy combined with relatively free movement of labor (people) and capital. This is approximately world we live in. We have an unequal world to…
More COVID vaccines, less excess deaths worldwide
Back in the days of COVID, there was a lot of debate about the efficacy of the vaccines. Unfortunately, most randomized trials were cut-short or too small to look at…
Ask me questions (paid subs)
This blog gets a lot of reads, but not so many paid subscribers. That's because everything is public and it will stay that way, except for video content (right now,…
The benefits of marriage
If we have to name the single largest problem with social science in itself it is that of confounding (in real-life social science, the bigger issue is probably statistical cheating…
Why are female intellectuals crazy?
I have a speculative model of sex differences among people with extreme beliefs. Here I just mean extreme in the sense of statistically uncommon, say, being a full-blown libertarian, HBD…