Herding, polls of polls and Bayes’ theorem
You have probably heard of that outlier Iowa poll that gave a surprisingly large advantage to Harris in the 2024 election. Related to this is that is what forecasters call…
When do simple methods outperform regression?
This is a nerdy post of little interest to the layman. There's this old paper that sometimes comes up: Dana, J., & Dawes, R. M. (2004). The superiority of simple…
German immigrant IQ is about 85 according to new study
Heiner Rindermann strikes back with a new study of immigrants in Germany: Rindermann, H., Klauk, B. & Thompson, J. (2024). Intelligence of refugees in Germany: levels, differences and possible determinants.…
“Surprisingly low IQs in developing countries”, we don’t want to know, thanks
Back in May this year, German intelligence researcher Heiner Rindermann published this study: Rindermann, H. (2024). Surprisingly low results from studies on cognitive ability in developing countries: are the results…
The Flynn effect and the co-occurrence model
Jonathan Egeland has an excellent recent paper on the Flynn effect and its paradoxes: Egeland, J. (2022). The ups and downs of intelligence: The co-occurrence model and its associated research…
Politics and citations in science
There are many ways that politics impact science. Many people are aware of the extreme measures taken by Soviet Russia (Lysenkoism) in order to make genetics fit with the party…
Heterodox Academy’s big payday
Everybody knows academia has severe political bias issues. Some people have been trying to do something about it for decades. The main academic organization that has been talking up the…
European polygenic scores predict Chinese provincial differences too
If you haven't seen my new article about the new David Reich lab ancient genomes results in Aporia magazine yet, head over there now: Overwhelming evidence of recent evolution in…
Wikipedia editors and politics
I've written a few times about the political bias (defined as deviation from population average) of journalists and academics. Earlier this year, I wrote about how one can study the…
Overwhelming evidence of recent evolution in West Eurasians
David Reich's team has a new kickass preprint out: Akbari, A., Barton, A. R., Gazal, S., Li, Z., Kariminejad, M., Perry, A., ... & Reich, D. (2024). Pervasive findings of…
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