Emil O. W. Kirkegaard blog
It is a test of true theories not only to account for but to predict phenomena. (William Whewell, 1840) No one has done more in recent years to spread the idea that predictive accuracy is the most important trait of expertise and thus, scientific expertise, than Phil Tetlock. Tetlock has written 2 major works…
Continue ReadingWe’ve been over this topic previously in 2017, but since this is the eternal idea, let’s look at more data. Let’s start historically. 1969 Arthur Jensen’s famous article “How much can we boost IQ and scholastic achievement?” Compensatory education has been tried and it apparently has failed. Compensatory education has been practiced on a massive…
Continue ReadingBackstabber Brennan AKA Topher Brennan (@TopherTBrennan) is some guy you wish you aren’t friends with. Nor even a casual email acquaintance. In an already deleted email thread that was luckily archived on IA, he publishes private emails from 2014 in an attempt to ride along on the NYT-aligned hit piece on Scott Alexander (Scott’s comments…
Continue ReadingPrior results: 2019 Personal genomics company 23andme has a new preprint out describing their current approach and results: Durand, E. Y., Do, C. B., Wilton, P. R., Mountain, J. L., Auton, A., Poznik, G. D., & Macpherson, J. M. (2021). A scalable pipeline for local ancestry inference using tens of thousands of reference haplotypes. BioRxiv,…
Continue ReadingWe are always looking to expand our Arthur Jensen coverage (https://arthurjensen.net/). Recently, we got a tip that some video material exist somewhere that we don’t have. Specifically: While critical of most mass media coverage of the issue, Jensen has the highest praise for the presentations by some of the “quick studies” who have interviewed him—Joseph…
Continue ReadingHead on over to the Arthur Jensen site for details, but here’s the video! Stay tuned, we also have a copy of the 1980 Phil Donahue Show, coming up shortly! It is discussed in the 1981 book.
Continue ReadingGwern has a tutorial like this, which you can find here. This is just a redundant guide so more will see it. So you want some ebook and you don’t want to pay $$$? There are some options, in order of what to try first. Library Genesis (LibGen) Internet Archive Google it Library Genesis (LibGen)…
Continue ReadingThis story has been floating around for a while, but no one seems to have written it up for a post (I tweeted it in February). Well, I believe in exposing bad actors in one’s own camp, so he we go. Gregory Cochran coauthored an interesting book, The 10,000 Year Explosion: How Civilization Accelerated Human…
Continue ReadingBig Tech is increasingly censorious, essentially an online oligarchical police state spreading to the offline world. With that in mind, you might want to avoid some of their services. Reddit is one such site, who is going so far as to ban people for liking the wrong comments, truly beyond STASI levels. So what can…
Continue ReadingMagic cards are an interesting but expensive hobby. Wizards (the developer, very woke too) does provide various computer versions of this, but they are obscenely monetized to get those nerdbucks. Back in the day, people used to use the mostly manual Magic Workstation to play the game for free. However, in recent years, there is…
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