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Forecasts for the 2022 French election

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:7. April 2022
  • Post category:Uncategorized

Metaculus: Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected as President of France in the 2022 Presidential Election? So let's try! Let's time…

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Read more about the article Who doesn’t want the COVID vaccine?

Who doesn’t want the COVID vaccine?

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:14. February 2022
  • Post category:Uncategorized

So you've probably seen the midwit meme about COVID vaccine skepticism: The data given to back this one up is this survey: Now you might be tempted to question some…

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The Norwegian Hjernevask (Brainwash) series (2010)

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:31. January 2022
  • Post category:Uncategorized

Back in 2010, Norwegian comedian Harald Eia made a rather extraordinary science documentary series called Hjernevask, or Brainwash in English. The series consists of Harald himself talking to various gender…

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Read more about the article Scoring my forecasts for 2021 — unofficial Metaculus superforecaster?

Scoring my forecasts for 2021 — unofficial Metaculus superforecaster?

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:4. January 2022
  • Post category:Uncategorized

It is a test of true theories not only to account for but to predict phenomena. (William Whewell, 1840)   No one has done more in recent years to spread…

Continue ReadingScoring my forecasts for 2021 — unofficial Metaculus superforecaster?
Read more about the article Backstabber Brennan knifes Scott Alexander with 2014 email

Backstabber Brennan knifes Scott Alexander with 2014 email

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:17. February 2021
  • Post category:Uncategorized

Backstabber Brennan AKA Topher Brennan (@TopherTBrennan) is some guy you wish you aren't friends with. Nor even a casual email acquaintance. In an already deleted email thread that was luckily…

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Read more about the article 23andme’s updated algorithm: January 2021

23andme’s updated algorithm: January 2021

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:28. January 2021
  • Post category:Uncategorized

Prior results: 2019 Personal genomics company 23andme has a new preprint out describing their current approach and results: Durand, E. Y., Do, C. B., Wilton, P. R., Mountain, J. L.,…

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Read more about the article Missing Arthur Jensen videos: money if you can find them!

Missing Arthur Jensen videos: money if you can find them!

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:8. January 2021
  • Post category:Uncategorized

We are always looking to expand our Arthur Jensen coverage (https://arthurjensen.net/). Recently, we got a tip that some video material exist somewhere that we don't have. Specifically: While critical of…

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Lost Jensen 1969 debate video published!

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:10. November 2020
  • Post category:Uncategorized

Head on over to the Arthur Jensen site for details, but here's the video! Stay tuned, we also have a copy of the 1980 Phil Donahue Show, coming up shortly!…

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How to find free books on the internet

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:20. October 2020
  • Post category:Uncategorized

Gwern has a tutorial like this, which you can find here. This is just a redundant guide so more will see it. So you want some ebook and you don't…

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Read more about the article Gregory Cochran’s Big Grant

Gregory Cochran’s Big Grant

  • Post author:Emil O. W. Kirkegaard
  • Post published:18. October 2020
  • Post category:Uncategorized

This story has been floating around for a while, but no one seems to have written it up for a post (I tweeted it in February). Well, I believe in…

Continue ReadingGregory Cochran’s Big Grant
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