Goals and forecasts for 2021
Last year's post (2020) and scoring the predictions. These are goals and projections for my various productivity measures. These are all based on ignoring the tail risk of getting banned…
Missing Arthur Jensen videos: money if you can find them!
We are always looking to expand our Arthur Jensen coverage (https://arthurjensen.net/). Recently, we got a tip that some video material exist somewhere that we don't have. Specifically: While critical of…
Scoring my 2020 predictions
I wanted to wait until all the US election stuff resolves, but seems like this will take a while for the last few questions, so let's proceed for now. As…
2020 in books
2020 was a productive year in terms of book reading. I set a goal of 25 and I ended up at 54. I track my book reading at Goodreads, and…
Myers Briggs: results of 46 Twitter raters
Slightly odd topic for a Christmas Even post, but some time ago, I talked with some people about the Myers Briggs personality model. As a contrarian, I am of course…
New paper out: National Intelligence Is More Important for Explaining Country Well-Being than Time Preference and Other Measured Non-Cognitive Traits
Kirkegaard, E. O. W., & Karlin, A. (2020). National Intelligence Is More Important for Explaining Country Well-Being than Time Preference and Other Measured Non-Cognitive Traits. Mankind Quarterly, 61(2). https://doi.org/10.46469/mq.2020.61.2.11 Patient…
New paper out: What Happened to Brussels? The Big Decline and Muslim Immigration
Researchgate link (ungated) Kirkegaard, E. O. W., & Dumoulin, B. (2020). What Happened to Brussels? The Big Decline and Muslim Immigration. Mankind Quarterly, 61(2). https://doi.org/10.46469/mq.2020.61.2.8 We examined regional inequality in…
What does money buy? Selected readings from lottery studies
In science, we are generally mostly interested in causal relationships because these are the ones that matter. Causality is generally defined in terms of counter-factuals: if things were such and…
China economy predictions: 1990-2020
There is a list that's floating around (meaning: copy pasted without sources), and it's also got no exact sources, so it's unclear how legit it is. So I did some…
Lost Jensen 1969 debate video published!
Head on over to the Arthur Jensen site for details, but here's the video! Stay tuned, we also have a copy of the 1980 Phil Donahue Show, coming up shortly!…
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