Interactive statistics: breeding’s equation AKA regression towards the mean
One of the things I did to teach myself R programming was to create a bunch of interactive statistics tools written using the awesome R Shiny package. These are still…
Rationality and the fair sex
Rationality is great. It's what separates humans from other species to a very large extent. There's not one but two philosophical movements named after this (rationalism of Descartes et al,…
Does school make students kill themselves?
I know, I know. It's fashionable to hate on formal education in the rationalist community. Here's an obligatory Twitter poll: And there's even some push-back in the funny article Why…
High heritability does mean that social interventions likely won’t work well
The scientific literature is full of claims like this one (Paige Harden 2021): This hereditarian pessimism about the possibility of social change, however, is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of…
The thick end of The Bell Curve
Adrian Wooldridge is currently popular with his book The Aristocracy of Talent: How Meritocracy Made the Modern World (2021). I read the book a while ago, but forgot to do…
Smart fraction theory vindicated
In the last days of 2022, Noah Carl and I had a new paper out: Kirkegaard, E. O. W., & Carl, N. (2022). Smart Fraction Theory: A Comprehensive Re-evaluation. Comparative…
The infant simulator fiasco
Teenage pregnancy is bad. At least, that's what most people think, so they are trying to lower the rates. One team of academics got the bright idea of exposure therapy.…
Forecast results for 2022 (Metaculus)
Like all the other cool kids, I set some personal goals every year, and also make some forecasts about these. So let's look at how my forecasts for 2022 went,…
Cold winters theory: a summary of the evidence and replies to objections
Cold winters theory gets at bad name, even from fellow hereditarians. In fact, the article about it was deleted from Wikipedia too. In my opinion that's because they are not…
Italian economic inequality explained by cognitive inequality
Italy is well known for being sort of two countries in one. These differences are large and longstanding and cover pretty much every aspect of society in typical S factor…
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