Smart fraction theory vindicated
In the last days of 2022, Noah Carl and I had a new paper out: Kirkegaard, E. O. W., & Carl, N. (2022). Smart Fraction Theory: A Comprehensive Re-evaluation. Comparative…
The infant simulator fiasco
Teenage pregnancy is bad. At least, that's what most people think, so they are trying to lower the rates. One team of academics got the bright idea of exposure therapy.…
Forecast results for 2022 (Metaculus)
Like all the other cool kids, I set some personal goals every year, and also make some forecasts about these. So let's look at how my forecasts for 2022 went,…
Cold winters theory: a summary of the evidence and replies to objections
Cold winters theory gets at bad name, even from fellow hereditarians. In fact, the article about it was deleted from Wikipedia too. In my opinion that's because they are not…
Italian economic inequality explained by cognitive inequality
Italy is well known for being sort of two countries in one. These differences are large and longstanding and cover pretty much every aspect of society in typical S factor…
Drug users vs. drug abusers
Drugs are bad mmk? Well, are they? The go-to argument involves looking at drug abusers. It's hard to say something positive about drug abuse in general. Everybody has a story…
Economics research is mostly untrustworthy because economists cheat so much with the statistics
I recently posted a book review of Garett Jones' 10% less Democracy. My main beef with the book is that it relies on lots of studies with dubious p values,…
The dimensionality of politics
Most political science research is based on a 1 dimensional model of politics: left vs. right. However, this model is actually and obviously false in a nontrivial way. Take studies…
The status of Phil Rushton
I recently received this email: I noticed in a recent podcast that when describing your initial engagement with the human biodiversity literature, you said something to the effect that you…
Philosophers and reason: more logic, less socialism
Philosophers seem particularly apt at coming up with bad ideas. Maybe this is just because they are so good at coming up with ideas in general. If we assume that…
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