Forecast results for 2022 (Metaculus)
Like all the other cool kids, I set some personal goals every year, and also make some forecasts about these. So let's look at how my forecasts for 2022 went,…
Goals and forecasts for 2021
Last year's post (2020) and scoring the predictions. These are goals and projections for my various productivity measures. These are all based on ignoring the tail risk of getting banned…
Scoring my 2020 predictions
I wanted to wait until all the US election stuff resolves, but seems like this will take a while for the last few questions, so let's proceed for now. As…