Interactive statistics: breeding’s equation AKA regression towards the mean
One of the things I did to teach myself R programming was to create a bunch of interactive statistics tools written using the awesome R Shiny package. These are still…
One of the things I did to teach myself R programming was to create a bunch of interactive statistics tools written using the awesome R Shiny package. These are still…
Rationality is great. It's what separates humans from other species to a very large extent. There's not one but two philosophical movements named after this (rationalism of Descartes et al,…
I know, I know. It's fashionable to hate on formal education in the rationalist community. Here's an obligatory Twitter poll: And there's even some push-back in the funny article Why…
The scientific literature is full of claims like this one (Paige Harden 2021): This hereditarian pessimism about the possibility of social change, however, is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of…
Adrian Wooldridge is currently popular with his book The Aristocracy of Talent: How Meritocracy Made the Modern World (2021). I read the book a while ago, but forgot to do…
In the last days of 2022, Noah Carl and I had a new paper out: Kirkegaard, E. O. W., & Carl, N. (2022). Smart Fraction Theory: A Comprehensive Re-evaluation. Comparative…
Teenage pregnancy is bad. At least, that's what most people think, so they are trying to lower the rates. One team of academics got the bright idea of exposure therapy.…
Like all the other cool kids, I set some personal goals every year, and also make some forecasts about these. So let's look at how my forecasts for 2022 went,…