Lord Kelvin on quantification and scientific knowledge

Being annoyed by some of the usual qualitative drivel masquerading as science (see almost any tweet by @RealPeerReview), I was moved to make a nice background/poster. https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/William_Thomson A slide from some anthropologist said of Galton that he “Worshipped at the alter of quantification”. That’s a nice way to put it!

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Predatory journals

I had my first Twitter controversy. So: @StuartJRitchie @FrontiersIn is a predatory open access journal. Publication fee is 1600€ http://t.co/zxdCppVR0J https://t.co/BUCXliIXwG — Emil O W Kirkegaard (@KirkegaardEmil) September 27, 2014 @KirkegaardEmil @StuartJRitchie you do realize that you are paying ~5000 per article for 'normal' journals? Nothing predatory about it — rogier kievit (@rogierK) September 28,…

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The typical social science theory

Perhaps the easiest way to convince yourself is by scanning the literature of soft psychology over the last 30 years and noticing what happens to theories. Most of them suffer the fate that General MacArthur ascribed to old generals—They never die, they just slowly fade away. In the developed sciences, theories tend either to become…

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Review of Expert Political Judgement (Philip E. Tetlock)

[Philip_E._Tetlock]_Expert_Political_Judgment_How(Bookos.org) Very interesting book! —- Game Theorists. The rivalry between Sherlock Holmes and the evil genius Professor Moriarty illustrates how indeterminacy can arise as a natural by-product of rational agents second-guessing each other. When the two first met, Moriarty was eager, too eager, to display his capacity for interactive thinking by announcing: “All I have…

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